firegold
0x1d5f88f1b97317cccad804374e5bd847512e634d
- Realised P&L
- $31.0k
- Volume
- $1.83M
- Markets traded
- 558
- Open portfolio
- $90.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded558
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.494Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?
- +$3.8kat 0.634No change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
- +$3.4kat 0.816No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?
- +$3.3kat 0.685No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$2.9kat 0.830No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 21:17 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.9340590836 | $6.9k |
| 08-03 13:18 | Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.65 |
| 08-03 08:07 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? | BUY | 0.65 | $149.45 |
| 08-03 08:06 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? | BUY | 0.43 | $202.78 |
| 07-31 14:12 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.61 | $93.20 |
| 07-31 14:09 | Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 07-30 21:16 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3961423046 | $348.25 |
| 07-30 19:16 | Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.7282455041 | $395.23 |
| 07-30 13:43 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7747806515 | $4.0k |
| 07-30 12:44 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7674662215 | $1.1k |
| 07-30 11:04 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7168055065 | $406.14 |
| 07-30 11:04 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6805882353 | $115.70 |
| 07-29 19:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.42 | $180.28 |
| 07-29 19:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.42 | $938.82 |
| 07-29 18:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $260.34 |