PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

firegold

0x1d5f88f1b97317cccad804374e5bd847512e634d

Realised P&L
$31.0k
Volume
$1.83M
Markets traded
558
Open portfolio
$90.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded558
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement? · Yes0.9120.964$12.0k+$643.94
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8960.992$11.3k+$1.1k
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8260.905$8.4k+$730.68
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8620.984$7.3k+$903.04
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7190.605$7.1k$1.3k
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · No0.7390.865$4.3k+$632.01
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6130.875$3.8k+$1.1k
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? · Yes0.8270.802$3.5k$107.90
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4640.425$3.4k$308.33
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? · No0.4690.660$2.9k+$841.70
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? · No0.6980.695$2.8k$12.64
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9360.957$2.4k+$51.25
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement? · No0.8990.983$1.7k+$142.92
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8060.895$1.6k+$160.60
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1140.130$1.6k+$191.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 21:17Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?BUY0.9340590836$6.9k
08-03 13:18Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?SELL0.18$0.65
08-03 08:07Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?BUY0.65$149.45
08-03 08:06Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?BUY0.43$202.78
07-31 14:12Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.61$93.20
07-31 14:09Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?SELL0.001$0.07
07-30 21:16No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.3961423046$348.25
07-30 19:16Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?BUY0.7282455041$395.23
07-30 13:43Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7747806515$4.0k
07-30 12:44No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7674662215$1.1k
07-30 11:04No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7168055065$406.14
07-30 11:04No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6805882353$115.70
07-29 19:03Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.42$180.28
07-29 19:00Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.42$938.82
07-29 18:58Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4$260.34