alpha.chen
0xe11ab7e675ffc7136bb065ac13d0d9ba2247c40b
- Realised P&L
- $-10.9k
- Volume
- $656.7k
- Markets traded
- 687
- Open portfolio
- $7.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded687
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.716Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
- +$1.2kat 0.888Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
- +$1.2kat 0.810Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
- +$1.1kat 0.753Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
- +$1.1kat 0.710Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:49 | Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections? | BUY | 0.78 | $168.48 |
| 11-01 12:26 | Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.89 | $44.50 |
| 11-01 11:05 | Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election? | BUY | 0.67 | $167.50 |
| 11-01 09:46 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.1k |
| 10-30 12:23 | Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8033333333 | $241.00 |
| 10-30 12:16 | Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.819047619 | $86.00 |
| 10-30 12:13 | Will Estée Lauder (EL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8 | $37.51 |
| 10-29 14:57 | Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.62 | $30.00 |
| 10-29 14:10 | Will Estée Lauder (EL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8222120003 | $100.99 |
| 10-29 14:09 | Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.76 | $38.00 |
| 10-29 13:51 | Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.73 | $109.50 |
| 10-29 13:50 | Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 10-28 22:06 | Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 10-28 22:02 | Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.64 | $96.00 |
| 10-28 22:00 | Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.85 | $127.50 |