PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

alpha.chen

0xe11ab7e675ffc7136bb065ac13d0d9ba2247c40b

Realised P&L
$-6.3k
Volume
$592.6k
Markets traded
599
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded599
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? · Yes0.8720.951$473.28+$39.10
Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.3650.425$443.59+$62.96
Will ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election? · Yes0.6600.875$437.03+$107.38
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6000.790$402.90+$96.90
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8430.945$283.92+$30.41
Will Linke win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.2510.275$275.00+$23.70
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8870.998$209.47+$23.18
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? · Yes0.5450.875$93.91+$35.39
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? · No0.7700.675$25.19$3.55
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.8400.938$18.75+$1.95
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes0.7400.555$11.10$3.70
Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? · Yes0.8500.955$9.55+$1.05
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8300.945$9.45+$1.15
Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? · Yes0.5400.930$9.30+$3.90
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.8700.925$9.25+$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 13:21Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.89$1.8k
09-15 12:57Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.11$1.10
09-15 09:41Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.3771751663$212.63
09-15 09:39Will Linke win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.2512999$251.30
09-15 09:39Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.35$164.50
09-15 05:52Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?SELL0.6$29.99
09-15 03:24Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?BUY0.8984062373$1.3k
09-14 23:32Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?SELL0.999$1.1k
09-14 23:31Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$1.8k
09-14 06:18Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.89$8.01
09-13 23:15Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.01$0.08
09-13 18:27Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.217584$326.38
09-13 18:22Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.3$73.59
09-13 18:22Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.28698195$573.96
09-13 15:10Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?BUY0.8507747048$885.65