alpha.chen
0xe11ab7e675ffc7136bb065ac13d0d9ba2247c40b
- Realised P&L
- $-6.3k
- Volume
- $592.6k
- Markets traded
- 599
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded599
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.716Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
- +$1.2kat 0.888Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
- +$1.2kat 0.810Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
- +$1.1kat 0.753Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
- +$1.1kat 0.710Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.89 | $1.8k |
| 09-15 12:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 09-15 09:41 | Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.3771751663 | $212.63 |
| 09-15 09:39 | Will Linke win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.2512999 | $251.30 |
| 09-15 09:39 | Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.35 | $164.50 |
| 09-15 05:52 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | SELL | 0.6 | $29.99 |
| 09-15 03:24 | Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? | BUY | 0.8984062373 | $1.3k |
| 09-14 23:32 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 09-14 23:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.8k |
| 09-14 06:18 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.01 |
| 09-13 23:15 | Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.08 |
| 09-13 18:27 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.217584 | $326.38 |
| 09-13 18:22 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.3 | $73.59 |
| 09-13 18:22 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.28698195 | $573.96 |
| 09-13 15:10 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BUY | 0.8507747048 | $885.65 |