PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Geeman

0xd6289d12736536235cf0793f273692c066f39356

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$58.9k
Markets traded
211
Open portfolio
$258.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded211
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? · Yes0.3400.400$70.40+$10.56
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? · Yes0.5600.575$64.89+$1.69
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? · Yes0.4900.485$48.50$0.50
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision? · Yes0.5700.875$39.38+$13.72
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.4300.420$24.78$0.59
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1440.075$5.81$5.39
Christopher Luxon out by September 30? · Yes0.2600.225$3.59$0.56
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + NZF? · Yes0.0120.022$2.72+$1.29
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0510.007$1.85$11.60
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4? · No0.0300.001$0.14$8.48
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 2? · Yes0.3650.000$0.00$24.50
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10? · No0.5270.000$0.00$29.77
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision? · No0.0420.000$0.00$1.60
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 9? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$22.64
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 17? · Yes0.3060.000$0.00$104.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 10:40Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$1.55
08-04 09:52Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?BUY0.49$2.45
08-03 22:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5?BUY0.56$31.60
08-03 18:10Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?BUY0.03$8.62
08-02 03:32Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3?BUY0.46$31.74
08-02 03:31Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 3?SELL0.33$27.72
08-02 03:31Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 3?BUY0.35$58.80
08-02 02:03Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2?SELL0.8123952096$33.92
07-31 16:35Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2?BUY0.34$56.78
07-26 22:41Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 27?SELL0.66$48.84
07-26 00:21Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 26?BUY0.02$1.40
07-25 18:13Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 27?BUY0.1197175141$21.19
07-25 18:12Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 27?BUY0.56$41.44
07-24 17:07Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 26?BUY0.12$3.48
07-24 06:06Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 26?BUY0.25$1.35