Geeman
0xd6289d12736536235cf0793f273692c066f39356
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $62.0k
- Markets traded
- 224
- Open portfolio
- $142.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded224
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$498.57at 0.030Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$235.15at 0.106Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 28?
- +$191.61at 0.775Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 6?
- +$153.11at 0.678Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 18?
- +$149.37at 0.085Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 23:18 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.3099765745 | $34.40 |
| 09-02 00:38 | Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision? | SELL | 0.972 | $32.80 |
| 08-12 16:02 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? | SELL | 0.44 | $43.56 |
| 08-12 00:54 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | SELL | 0.03 | $2.79 |
| 08-12 00:54 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | SELL | 0.03 | $3.55 |
| 08-12 00:31 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | SELL | 0.32 | $8.00 |
| 08-11 14:51 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | BUY | 0.59 | $14.75 |
| 08-11 14:50 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.12 | $8.60 |
| 08-11 14:49 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 12? | BUY | 0.2295833333 | $27.55 |
| 08-11 13:52 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | BUY | 0.58 | $14.50 |
| 08-10 15:14 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? | SELL | 0.51 | $22.44 |
| 08-10 08:45 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | BUY | 0.1695413159 | $39.48 |
| 08-09 19:34 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT? | BUY | 0.023 | $1.72 |
| 08-09 19:34 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT? | BUY | 0.021 | $1.58 |
| 08-09 19:34 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT? | BUY | 0.02 | $7.00 |