PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Geeman

0xd6289d12736536235cf0793f273692c066f39356

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$62.0k
Markets traded
224
Open portfolio
$142.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded224
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5190.470$66.03$6.94
Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30? · Yes0.2500.335$30.15+$7.65
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.4300.445$26.25+$0.89
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? · Yes0.3400.455$15.02+$3.80
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT? · Yes0.0210.005$2.75$7.55
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1440.017$1.28$9.92
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + NZF? · Yes0.0120.008$0.97$0.46
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0920.001$0.06$11.05
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 2? · Yes0.3650.000$0.00$24.50
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10? · No0.5270.000$0.00$29.77
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision? · No0.0420.000$0.00$1.60
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 9? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$22.64
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 17? · Yes0.3060.000$0.00$104.41
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$40.00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 7? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$91.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 23:18Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 6?BUY0.3099765745$34.40
09-02 00:38Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision?SELL0.972$32.80
08-12 16:02Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?SELL0.44$43.56
08-12 00:54Christopher Luxon out by September 30?SELL0.03$2.79
08-12 00:54Christopher Luxon out by September 30?SELL0.03$3.55
08-12 00:31Christopher Luxon out by September 30?SELL0.32$8.00
08-11 14:51Christopher Luxon out by September 30?BUY0.59$14.75
08-11 14:50Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 13?BUY0.12$8.60
08-11 14:49Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 12?BUY0.2295833333$27.55
08-11 13:52Christopher Luxon out by September 30?BUY0.58$14.50
08-10 15:14Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?SELL0.51$22.44
08-10 08:45Christopher Luxon out by September 30?BUY0.1695413159$39.48
08-09 19:34Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT?BUY0.023$1.72
08-09 19:34Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT?BUY0.021$1.58
08-09 19:34Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT?BUY0.02$7.00