0x74BedED250c8282501D155636F8e246CA46e78E9-1781567610364
0x74beded250c8282501d155636f8e246ca46e78e9
- Realised P&L
- $118.44
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $193.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.840 | $119.43 | +$28.44 |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.495 | $74.25 | −$0.75 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision? · No | 0.195 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 03:18 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $75.00 |
| 07-13 23:10 | Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision? | BUY | 0.64 | $91.00 |
| 07-01 05:10 | Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision? | SELL | 0.4824136972 | $190.75 |
| 06-15 23:57 | Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision? | BUY | 0.1947316231 | $100.00 |