Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.967. up 0.013 over the period, from 0.954. Range 0.943 to 0.971. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.968	140	140
0.969	612	752
0.971	284	1,036
0.972	25	1,061
0.975	664	1,725
0.980	725	2,450
0.981	157	2,607
0.983	3,220	5,827
0.984	4,364	10,191
0.988	833	11,024
0.989	909	11,933
0.990	1,000	12,933

Spread0.003Mid0.966

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.965	30	30
0.963	30	60
0.962	69	129
0.961	227	356
0.960	2,759	3,115
0.959	50	3,165
0.952	520	3,685
0.947	230	3,915
0.946	1,500	5,415
0.945	2,500	7,915
0.944	2,500	10,415
0.940	366	10,781

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.035	30	30
0.037	30	60
0.038	69	129
0.039	227	356
0.040	2,759	3,115
0.041	50	3,165
0.048	520	3,685
0.053	230	3,915
0.054	1,500	5,415
0.055	2,500	7,915
0.056	2,500	10,415
0.060	366	10,781

Spread0.003Mid0.034

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.032	140	140
0.031	612	752
0.029	284	1,036
0.028	25	1,061
0.025	664	1,725
0.020	725	2,450
0.019	157	2,607
0.017	3,220	5,827
0.016	4,364	10,191
0.012	833	11,024
0.011	909	11,933
0.010	1,000	12,933

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AnonymousUsername	Yes	6,783.99
elmcap2	Yes	4,000
TheFOMCGambler	Yes	2,202.02
AngryRhino	Yes	2,199.61
okalright	Yes	1,842.77
ImJustKen	Yes	1,817.2
0xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-1786041153188	Yes	1,705.23
insidero	Yes	1,111
andy29	Yes	1,030.44
lihpare	Yes	776
GamGanapati	Yes	500
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935	Yes	499.98
0x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-1730491999430	Yes	420.42
zzzx2	Yes	316.62
Jpegpeddler	Yes	300
peet-752	Yes	289.19
probability	Yes	260
wqeewqeadawfawfwa	Yes	255
ryebreadcrumbs	Yes	222
nonkenny90	Yes	209.51

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:41:57	BUY	No	0.03335375	40	$1.33
19:18:28	BUY	No	0.0383363345	190	$7.29
17:42:04	BUY	Yes	0.969	50	$48.51
16:57:58	BUY	Yes	0.9626788462	104	$100.12
16:03:34	BUY	No	0.0470581875	160	$7.53
16:01:43	BUY	No	0.0448150685	7	$0.33
16:01:43	BUY	No	0.02	20	$0.41
16:01:43	BUY	No	0.02	156	$3.11
16:01:43	BUY	No	0.02	53	$1.05
16:01:40	BUY	No	0.02	17	$0.34
16:01:40	BUY	Yes	0.9799051383	20	$19.83
16:01:39	BUY	Yes	0.9719999975	5	$4.62
16:01:37	BUY	Yes	0.971	1,270	$1233.56
16:01:22	BUY	No	0.03	51	$1.53
15:59:54	BUY	No	0.03	10	$0.29
15:59:52	BUY	No	0.03	15	$0.44
15:59:52	BUY	Yes	0.9649166667	48	$46.32
15:59:51	BUY	Yes	0.9639999789	1	$1.28
15:59:49	BUY	Yes	0.9639428571	350	$337.38
15:58:13	BUY	Yes	0.9585329856	222	$213.15
15:42:42	BUY	Yes	0.957	16	$15.00
14:10:58	BUY	Yes	0.9579999866	1	$1.00
13:17:54	BUY	No	0.045	50	$2.25
12:54:18	BUY	Yes	0.958	12	$11.49
11:52:27	BUY	No	0.046	9	$0.41