PolyBot

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Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.966. up 0.012 over the period, from 0.954. Range 0.943 to 0.971. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9666161
0.96740101
0.96846147
0.969600747
0.97179826
0.97225851
0.97369920
0.9751171,037
0.9802031,240
0.9811571,397
0.9833,2204,617
0.9844,3648,981

Spread0.001Mid0.966

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.96511
0.9632021
0.9621031
0.961227258
0.9602,8283,086
0.959503,136
0.9525203,656
0.9472303,886
0.9461,5005,386
0.9452,5007,886
0.9442,50010,386
0.94036610,752

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.03511
0.0372021
0.0381031
0.039227258
0.0402,8283,086
0.041503,136
0.0485203,656
0.0532303,886
0.0541,5005,386
0.0552,5007,886
0.0562,50010,386
0.06036610,752

Spread0.001Mid0.035

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0346161
0.03340101
0.03246147
0.031600747
0.02979826
0.02825851
0.02769920
0.0251171,037
0.0202031,240
0.0191571,397
0.0173,2204,617
0.0164,3648,981

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AnonymousUsernameYes6,783.99
elmcap2Yes4,000
TheFOMCGamblerYes2,202.02
AngryRhinoYes2,199.61
okalrightYes1,842.77
ImJustKenYes1,817.2
0xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-1786041153188Yes1,705.23
insideroYes1,111
andy29Yes1,030.44
lihpareYes776
GamGanapatiYes500
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Yes499.98
0x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-1730491999430Yes420.42
zzzx2Yes316.62
JpegpeddlerYes300
peet-752Yes289.19
probabilityYes260
wqeewqeadawfawfwaYes255
ryebreadcrumbsYes222
nonkenny90Yes209.51

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:19:55BUYNo0.034999999829$1.01
22:41:57BUYNo0.0333537540$1.33
19:18:28BUYNo0.0383363345190$7.29
17:42:04BUYYes0.96950$48.51
16:57:58BUYYes0.9626788462104$100.12
16:03:34BUYNo0.0470581875160$7.53
16:01:43BUYNo0.04481506857$0.33
16:01:43BUYNo0.0220$0.41
16:01:43BUYNo0.02156$3.11
16:01:43BUYNo0.0253$1.05
16:01:40BUYNo0.0217$0.34
16:01:40BUYYes0.979905138320$19.83
16:01:39BUYYes0.97199999755$4.62
16:01:37BUYYes0.9711,270$1233.56
16:01:22BUYNo0.0351$1.53
15:59:54BUYNo0.0310$0.29
15:59:52BUYNo0.0315$0.44
15:59:52BUYYes0.964916666748$46.32
15:59:51BUYYes0.96399997891$1.28
15:59:49BUYYes0.9639428571350$337.38
15:58:13BUYYes0.9585329856222$213.15
15:42:42BUYYes0.95716$15.00
14:10:58BUYYes0.95799998661$1.00
13:17:54BUYNo0.04550$2.25
12:54:18BUYYes0.95812$11.49