PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ryebreadcrumbs

0x94cae7e1cb62b7c70914f367c97ba115d4198479

Realised P&L
$-7.29
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$444.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8400.942$209.01+$22.53
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5200.555$171.64+$10.82
Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9170.947$30.98+$0.97
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2090.170$26.42$6.02
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.6700.845$6.31+$1.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-03 23:03Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.84$186.48
05-02 23:16Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2087068364$32.44
05-02 23:01Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9172004141$30.01
05-01 21:30Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.6699998727$5.00
05-01 11:25Will Ethan Agarwal advance from the CA-17 primary?SELL0.5750374181$122.94
05-01 10:55Will Ethan Agarwal advance from the CA-17 primary?SELL0.67$26.80
05-01 10:53Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?SELL0.469$14.13
05-01 10:44Will Ethan Agarwal advance from the CA-17 primary?BUY0.6548779172$166.21
05-01 04:56Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?BUY0.56$2.80
05-01 04:002026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5199999997$160.82
05-01 02:55Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?BUY0.5389999965$13.54
04-30 22:21Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.1737916309$85.06
04-30 22:20Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2102278719$102.89
04-30 22:17Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?SELL0.044$13.89
04-30 22:12Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?BUY0.0452590971$14.29