okalright
0x9055a9e36aa73274e3a92dc2dbb081bb4d9e756a
- Realised P&L
- $100.0k
- Volume
- $13.78M
- Markets traded
- 5,358
- Open portfolio
- $36.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,358
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.500 | 0.854 | $21.3k | +$8.8k |
| Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner · LGD Gaming | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.0k | +$3.02 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.146 | $3.7k | −$8.8k |
| LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season · LYON | 0.999 | 1.000 | $3.4k | +$1.83 |
| Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs · LGD Gaming | 0.970 | 1.000 | $1.0k | +$30.19 |
| LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · Movistar KOI | 0.936 | 1.000 | $999.50 | +$63.02 |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner · Team Liquid | 0.948 | 1.000 | $999.50 | +$51.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.742US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova
- +$1.9kat 0.060Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-30?
- +$1.8kat 0.096Will $Mog be listed first on Coinbase?
- +$1.6kat 0.380Will LOSC Lille beat Sturm Graz?
- +$1.5kat 0.635Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:15 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.9482985 | $948.30 |
| 08-02 21:39 | Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.9987976488 | $2.5k |
| 08-02 21:36 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | BUY | 0.9989369286 | $1.7k |
| 08-02 21:24 | Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs | BUY | 0.97 | $992.74 |
| 08-02 20:17 | Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.96 | $1.9k |
| 08-02 19:29 | LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.9350570502 | $1.7k |
| 08-02 19:05 | Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.9869696655 | $1.4k |
| 08-02 19:00 | Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.52 | $250.77 |
| 08-02 18:53 | Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.8828472127 | $449.61 |
| 08-02 18:45 | Team Liquid to win 2-0? | SELL | 0.992 | $311.79 |
| 08-02 18:45 | Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming: Draw (1-1)? | SELL | 0.996 | $996.00 |
| 08-02 18:34 | Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming: Draw (1-1)? | SELL | 0.988 | $109.99 |
| 08-02 18:33 | Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming: Draw (1-1)? | SELL | 0.988 | $2.0k |
| 08-02 18:33 | Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming: Draw (1-1)? | BUY | 0.985 | $9.85 |
| 08-02 18:08 | Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming: Draw (1-1)? | BUY | 0.94 | $28.20 |