okalright
0x9055a9e36aa73274e3a92dc2dbb081bb4d9e756a
- Realised P&L
- $107.5k
- Volume
- $15.31M
- Markets traded
- 5,768
- Open portfolio
- $37.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,768
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.500 | 0.818 | $24.5k | +$9.5k |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.182 | $5.5k | −$9.5k |
| Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winner · Team Cobra | 0.999 | 1.000 | $4.1k | +$2.07 |
| Dota 2: 1win vs Hokori (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage · 1win | 0.944 | 0.945 | $2.8k | +$2.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.742US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova
- +$1.9kat 0.060Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-30?
- +$1.8kat 0.096Will $Mog be listed first on Coinbase?
- +$1.6kat 0.380Will LOSC Lille beat Sturm Graz?
- +$1.5kat 0.635Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 09:32 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.999 | $4.1k |
| 09-20 09:11 | Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.98 | $1.6k |
| 09-20 08:23 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.99 | $2.3k |
| 09-20 08:20 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 09-20 08:05 | Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.99 | $1.4k |
| 09-20 07:47 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.66 | $334.65 |
| 09-20 07:33 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.91 | $1.2k |
| 09-20 07:32 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.9090150048 | $150.24 |
| 09-20 06:52 | Dota 2: 1win vs Hokori (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.93 | $44.24 |
| 09-20 06:44 | Dota 2: 1win vs Hokori (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.95 | $1.8k |
| 09-20 06:44 | Dota 2: 1win vs Hokori (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.94 | $331.82 |
| 09-19 22:40 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.9271508168 | $146.43 |
| 09-19 20:40 | LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.88 | $880.00 |
| 09-19 20:29 | LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.8809755 | $880.98 |
| 09-19 20:19 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.9945740363 | $346.52 |