PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.009. down 0.012 over the period, from 0.021. Range 0.009 to 0.022. 153 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0172020
0.018100120
0.01940160
0.021100260
0.022200460
0.024400860
0.0272001,060
0.0301151,175
0.0393961,571
0.0402501,821
0.0502502,071
0.060502,121

Spread0.015Mid0.010

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.002500500
0.0011,2651,765

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.998500500
0.9991,2651,765

Spread0.015Mid0.990

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9832020
0.982100120
0.98140160
0.979100260
0.978200460
0.976400860
0.9732001,060
0.9701151,175
0.9613961,571
0.9602501,821
0.9502502,071
0.940502,121

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
wing1234Yes3,079.38
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938Yes968
LornaPredictsYes397.36
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes396.05
CompulsiveGamblerYes200
Wegamble777Yes172.41
xtxpleasecallmeYes165.17
peepeepooppoopYes125.62
Dr.PNLYes105.82
EiaYes100
awgraewrfaYes70.22
human.beanYes59.18
dropmepleaseYes40
53asdadYes38.9
xmzkYes34.58
kaswarYes25
a5533Yes20
quiddyYes19.1
gajistanYes17.96
neverhackmeYes16.76

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:41:18BUYNo0.9969269689342$341.27
07:18:57BUYNo0.9897548007104$102.57
01:09:51BUYNo0.98330$29.49
07:05:49BUYNo0.9835$4.92
07:05:49BUYNo0.9836$5.90
07:05:49BUYNo0.9836$5.41
19:07:42BUYYes0.02312$0.28
13:40:33BUYNo0.9825$4.51
13:40:33BUYNo0.9829$8.45
13:39:57BUYNo0.98210$9.82
13:04:05BUYNo0.98230$29.46
13:04:05BUYNo0.98210$9.82
23:37:56BUYNo0.98118$18.09
17:18:11BUYYes0.0289999998172$5.00
18:24:53BUYYes0.0220$0.40
18:21:14BUYNo0.9815$4.91
18:01:45BUYNo0.98123$22.62
15:10:33BUYNo0.985$4.90
19:09:08BUYNo0.98110$9.81
12:43:46BUYNo0.9815$4.91
21:40:40BUYNo0.98120$19.62
19:48:12BUYNo0.98120$19.62
19:45:55BUYNo0.98130$29.43
18:44:58BUYNo0.97910$9.79
18:44:58BUYNo0.979412117417$16.66