xmzk
0x4ade46e7b9f8f201dc24e210b4b05d4120c86fd5
- Realised P&L
- $-15.62
- Volume
- $194.36
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $0.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%? · Yes | 0.145 | 0.009 | $0.33 | −$4.67 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.00at 0.999Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$-0.27at 0.032Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 20:52 | Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit? | BUY | 0.1265913564 | $10.00 |
| 04-26 22:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 04-26 21:59 | Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%? | BUY | 0.1446117423 | $5.00 |
| 04-26 21:49 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.0715934922 | $4.54 |
| 04-26 21:40 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 04-26 21:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $0.23 |