gajistan
0x90a6019b33c0dee813cb7c4826014c54837ef8a9
- Realised P&L
- $238.05
- Volume
- $143.4k
- Markets traded
- 473
- Open portfolio
- $16.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded473
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.76at 0.221Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$7.45at 0.013Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$5.69at 0.019Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$5.50at 0.006Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
- +$4.72at 0.005Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 17:37 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? | BUY | 0.0817322034 | $4.81 |
| 10-02 17:36 | Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.1399999977 | $4.82 |
| 09-21 10:50 | Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999944 | $4.72 |
| 09-21 10:50 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? | BUY | 0.2079999979 | $4.84 |
| 09-21 10:49 | Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.179999994 | $4.79 |
| 09-20 18:31 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0509999997 | $4.81 |
| 09-20 18:30 | Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD? | BUY | 0.1281735178 | $4.82 |
| 09-20 18:29 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke? | BUY | 0.0476190476 | $4.80 |
| 09-20 11:56 | Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.052 | $4.81 |
| 09-20 11:55 | Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | BUY | 0.016711257 | $4.85 |
| 09-19 10:56 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 10:55 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.1299999992 | $4.78 |
| 09-19 10:45 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.83 |
| 09-19 10:44 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? | BUY | 0.0779999996 | $4.81 |
| 09-19 10:43 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999955 | $4.83 |