PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party win the CA-51 House seat?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://www.fec.gov/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.016. down 0.013 over the period, from 0.029. Range 0.011 to 0.036. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0221414
0.0252034
0.0292054
0.03150104
0.03342146
0.039200346
0.040100446
0.04745491
0.04827518
0.0491,0001,518
0.0502,0003,518
0.0541903,708

Spread0.012Mid0.016

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0102020
0.0096383
0.00876159
0.00795255
0.00676331
0.005183514
0.004363877
0.0034401,317
0.0028232,140
0.0017,1299,269

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9902020
0.9916383
0.99276159
0.99395255
0.99476331
0.995183514
0.996363877
0.9974401,317
0.9988232,140
0.9997,1299,269

Spread0.012Mid0.984

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9781414
0.9752034
0.9712054
0.96950104
0.96742146
0.961200346
0.960100446
0.95345491
0.95227518
0.9511,0001,518
0.9502,0003,518
0.9461903,708

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
SitsToPeeYes636.36
GUINESS123Yes97
hadarhaddadYes96.51
xtxpleasecallmeYes83.54
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes73.99
crossFiterYes63
0x5533…51baYes47.38
BSS37Yes27
0xE85D8DDD47906a2f644908281C427c9176C84E7F-1791087052329Yes25
thecaricatureYes20.4
house2001Yes14.04
50000HarryYes1
VanillaOvercoatInspiringNo504
ancianoNo368.27
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938No127
0xa5ef…2966No61.6
immanuelcanNo50
0x6973…53caNo50
donthackmeNo16.13
wqeewqeadawfawfwaNo5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:42:34BUYYes0.027$0.14
06:40:51BUYYes0.02711$0.29
21:27:54BUYNo0.9870229563504$497.46
18:27:30BUYNo0.98099999725$4.90
13:04:00BUYYes0.02917$0.50
12:55:47BUYYes0.0313$0.38
20:39:11BUYYes0.027165739736$0.98
23:47:27BUYYes0.0276$0.16
14:20:12BUYYes0.0516$0.81
02:50:51BUYYes0.02797$2.62
13:48:43SELLNo0.9695$4.84
13:27:36BUYYes0.03930$1.16
13:27:18BUYYes0.037594594615$0.56
15:59:32SELLNo0.9685$4.84
15:57:38SELLNo0.9685$4.84
15:55:35SELLNo0.9685$4.84
15:54:37SELLNo0.9685$4.84
18:08:36SELLYes0.035681327971$2.55
16:43:24SELLYes0.03729$1.07
23:39:30SELLYes0.03668$2.45
23:23:18SELLYes0.03721$0.78
20:35:33SELLYes0.0420$0.80
20:33:28SELLYes0.05326$16.28
20:07:27SELLYes0.0520$1.00
19:57:37SELLYes0.0520$1.00