50000Harry
0xd6fa07ff19d2e2d3ec77c7621fffe67be54b4f2d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $240.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,184
- Open portfolio
- $0.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,184
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.70at 0.090Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?
- +$4.17at 0.160Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be less than $0.8B at market close on IPO day?
- +$4.08at 0.920Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$2.43at 0.080Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 4, 2026?
- +$2.33at 0.030Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 05:58 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.06 |
| 06-18 05:58 | Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | SELL | 0.073 | $0.07 |
| 06-18 05:58 | Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | SELL | 0.062 | $0.06 |
| 06-18 05:58 | Will Pete Alonso lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 06-18 05:45 | Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? | SELL | 0.057 | $0.06 |
| 06-18 05:45 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.08 |
| 06-18 05:43 | Will Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? | SELL | 0.089 | $0.08 |
| 06-18 05:43 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.084 | $0.07 |
| 06-18 05:43 | Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.08 |
| 06-18 05:42 | Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 5? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.08 |
| 06-18 05:42 | Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.08 |
| 06-18 05:42 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.07 |
| 06-18 05:42 | Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET? | SELL | 0.084 | $0.08 |
| 06-18 05:40 | No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | SELL | 0.12 | $0.08 |
| 06-18 05:40 | Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.096 | $0.09 |