PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.17. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.20. Range 0.14 to 0.29. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.194040
0.20279319
0.22422741
0.23141882
0.2468950
0.251201,070
0.261461,216
0.391001,316
0.40701,386
0.4181,394
0.514001,794
0.52701,864

Spread0.03Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.16120120
0.15142262
0.1232294
0.11142436
0.1021457
0.037464
0.0220484
0.0134518

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.84120120
0.85142262
0.8832294
0.89142436
0.9021457
0.977464
0.9820484
0.9934518

Spread0.03Mid0.82

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.814040
0.80279319
0.78422741
0.77141882
0.7668950
0.751201,070
0.741461,216
0.611001,316
0.60701,386
0.5981,394
0.494001,794
0.48701,864

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes186.02
kSj39SJLtjYes152.49
limearbsYes83.44
sweetjYes82
BobbyBakedBeansYes50.02
LornaPredictsYes40
0x4629…f3b1Yes30
lolzzzlolYes20
pootytherewardfarmerYes20
LongtailedporcupineYes2.8
keepingitralNo242
0xa5ef…2966No189.83
pykueNo60
fkpaNo59.27
AnjunNo36.24
Dr.PNLNo32.5
gfdgfvfvssddNo20
0xf528…7e5bNo20
GuyFromTinderNo6.2
pppnnNo1.44

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:12:30BUYYes0.1540$6.00
18:33:34BUYNo0.8820$17.60
15:23:57SELLYes0.1520$3.00
14:56:34SELLYes0.1920$3.80
14:53:39SELLYes0.1620$3.20
14:52:15SELLYes0.2288571429263$60.08
14:52:13BUYNo0.820$16.00
14:16:39SELLNo0.7520$15.00
14:16:30SELLNo0.7520$15.00
13:57:39SELLYes0.2420$4.80
13:57:30BUYYes0.21435$91.35
22:43:49BUYNo0.8320$16.60
22:41:51BUYNo0.82150$123.00
22:41:51BUYNo0.81999999520$16.39
20:56:20BUYNo0.7540$30.00
19:35:27BUYNo0.7140$28.40
19:12:48BUYYes0.2921$5.97
19:09:53BUYYes0.265604381879$21.09
19:09:53BUYYes0.19160$30.40
20:24:47BUYNo0.7833$25.75
16:14:53BUYNo0.7833$25.94
01:21:29SELLYes0.1723$3.91
21:52:53BUYNo0.7211$7.92
21:49:23SELLNo0.820$16.00
21:49:20BUYYes0.1697$15.56