limearbs
0xf33104726a5d2c84b169c92f14880d58764b7e96
- Realised P&L
- $31.46
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $808.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.90at 0.090Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
- +$17.15at 0.071Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?
- +$11.90at 0.690Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- +$9.99at 0.307Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$8.42at 0.540Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:17 | Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.109999987 | $7.09 |
| 08-02 18:16 | Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $16.89 |
| 08-02 18:09 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.5377393483 | $97.48 |
| 08-02 18:07 | Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0097106109 | $1.51 |
| 08-02 18:06 | Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? | BUY | 0.6190000147 | $26.18 |
| 08-02 17:52 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $11.55 |
| 08-01 13:43 | Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $61.75 |
| 08-01 13:42 | Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $12.35 |
| 07-31 23:14 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.032 | $5.20 |
| 07-31 23:12 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.7099999987 | $112.10 |
| 07-31 23:03 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? | SELL | 0.3149103841 | $22.14 |
| 07-31 22:48 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $13.20 |
| 07-31 22:46 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? | SELL | 0.6194339623 | $65.66 |
| 07-31 12:27 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $65.66 |
| 07-30 12:20 | Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | BUY | 0.2850732402 | $15.05 |