limearbs
0xf33104726a5d2c84b169c92f14880d58764b7e96
- Realised P&L
- $224.27
- Volume
- $35.0k
- Markets traded
- 161
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded161
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.52at 0.101Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
- +$59.21at 0.298Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
- +$37.18at 0.162Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- +$25.73at 0.243Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?
- +$22.56at 0.123Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 02:18 | Will Jon Stewart win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? | BUY | 0.8909999996 | $75.73 |
| 10-31 14:53 | Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | SELL | 0.944 | $4.13 |
| 10-31 14:47 | Will Skyler Gisondo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.94 | $75.20 |
| 10-30 12:23 | Will the Republicans win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3099999968 | $23.13 |
| 10-30 12:23 | Will Brighton finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.3299999997 | $21.43 |
| 10-30 12:22 | Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.4618558222 | $41.28 |
| 10-30 12:21 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.27 | $84.66 |
| 10-29 01:30 | Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy? | SELL | 0.46 | $0.57 |
| 10-28 01:55 | Will Edmonton Oilers be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.16 | $49.87 |
| 10-27 23:43 | Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.941 | $39.21 |
| 10-26 21:37 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.2266833052 | $71.08 |
| 10-26 21:36 | Will Cole Caufield win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award? | SELL | 0.9139815586 | $61.46 |
| 10-26 16:19 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.032 | $3.95 |
| 10-26 00:02 | Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | SELL | 0.114 | $13.96 |
| 10-25 18:01 | Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.037 | $1.19 |