PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

limearbs

0xf33104726a5d2c84b169c92f14880d58764b7e96

Realised P&L
$224.27
Volume
$35.0k
Markets traded
161
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded161
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Myles Garrett win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? · No0.7900.959$300.74+$53.00
Will Stephen A. Smith be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · No0.9430.994$238.90+$12.16
Will Marshall Thundering Herd Win the 2026 Sun Belt Championship? · No0.9000.942$226.99+$10.12
Will The Weeknd have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · No0.8000.870$173.75+$13.98
Will Sam Montembeault win the 2026-27 Vezina Trophy? · No0.9320.992$167.59+$10.03
Will Rasmus Dahlin win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy? · No0.8230.951$163.57+$22.06
Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? · No0.7300.905$162.90+$31.50
Will Norway win the UEFA EURO 2028? · No0.9350.953$118.47+$2.21
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.2700.430$112.31+$41.90
Will Tuomas Iisalo win the 2026-27 NBA Coach of the Year? · No0.8780.875$110.24−$0.38
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.3780.250$92.44−$47.36
Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.5160.560$90.15+$7.11
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? · Yes0.7950.655$88.42−$18.87
Will Leon Draisaitl win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award? · No0.9300.973$79.65+$3.48
Will Jon Stewart win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? · No0.8910.898$76.37+$0.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 02:18Will Jon Stewart win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?BUY0.8909999996$75.73
10-31 14:53Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?SELL0.944$4.13
10-31 14:47Will Skyler Gisondo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.94$75.20
10-30 12:23Will the Republicans win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election?BUY0.3099999968$23.13
10-30 12:23Will Brighton finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?BUY0.3299999997$21.43
10-30 12:22Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?BUY0.4618558222$41.28
10-30 12:21Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?SELL0.27$84.66
10-29 01:30Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy?SELL0.46$0.57
10-28 01:55Will Edmonton Oilers be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?BUY0.16$49.87
10-27 23:43Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?SELL0.941$39.21
10-26 21:37Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?BUY0.2266833052$71.08
10-26 21:36Will Cole Caufield win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award?SELL0.9139815586$61.46
10-26 16:19Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.032$3.95
10-26 00:02Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?SELL0.114$13.96
10-25 18:01Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?SELL0.037$1.19