keepingitral
0xf26cb3076afc6c6644d882a92fe44584538bd5c5
- Realised P&L
- $454.59
- Volume
- $60.2k
- Markets traded
- 284
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded284
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$364.77at 0.257Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by less than 5%?
- +$191.54at 0.240Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
- +$185.70at 0.256Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?
- +$134.89at 0.631Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$118.25at 0.540Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 03:45 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 12%-15%? | BUY | 0.0920813889 | $14.88 |
| 10-11 23:17 | Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.29 | $47.27 |
| 10-11 22:20 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.842 | $16.84 |
| 10-11 21:21 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.8248831169 | $127.03 |
| 10-11 21:13 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 12%-15%? | BUY | 0.852 | $85.20 |
| 10-11 20:56 | Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.2691615 | $53.83 |
| 10-11 20:49 | Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.29 | $39.73 |
| 10-11 15:13 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.75825 | $60.66 |
| 10-11 01:02 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.86 | $38.39 |
| 10-10 22:52 | Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.24 |
| 10-10 22:43 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%? | BUY | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 10-10 22:43 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 18% or more? | SELL | 0.9205405405 | $34.06 |
| 10-10 22:41 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%? | BUY | 0.82 | $123.00 |
| 10-10 22:31 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-22 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.9074775567 | $90.77 |
| 10-10 22:28 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-22 House election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.9579999866 | $1.00 |