Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 5?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.053. up 0.002 over the period, from 0.051. Range 0.040 to 0.066. 147 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.068	25	25
0.069	185	210
0.074	80	290
0.081	113	403
0.096	429	832
0.153	13	845
0.154	300	1,145
0.213	5	1,150
0.339	183	1,333
0.381	235	1,568
0.382	25	1,593
0.384	25	1,618

Spread0.029Mid0.054

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.039	10	10
0.035	40	50
0.034	21	71
0.031	33	104
0.030	460	564
0.020	378	942
0.015	8	950
0.014	857	1,807
0.013	1,693	3,500
0.004	13	3,513
0.003	7	3,520
0.002	76	3,596

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.961	10	10
0.965	40	50
0.966	21	71
0.969	33	104
0.970	460	564
0.980	378	942
0.985	8	950
0.986	857	1,807
0.987	1,693	3,500
0.996	13	3,513
0.997	7	3,520
0.998	76	3,596

Spread0.029Mid0.947

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.932	25	25
0.931	185	210
0.926	80	290
0.919	113	403
0.904	429	832
0.847	13	845
0.846	300	1,145
0.787	5	1,150
0.661	183	1,333
0.619	235	1,568
0.618	25	1,593
0.616	25	1,618

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710	Yes	182
2B9S	Yes	179
cry.eth2	Yes	131
green-gt3rs	Yes	105
xiaoaojiang	Yes	70
CodyAnderson4920	Yes	62.5
52adsa	Yes	43.78
0x8070…7397	Yes	39.91
ManuelLamb8804	Yes	35
HerrieDavis	Yes	35
0x7009…390a	Yes	30
haruk098	Yes	30
0x9687…1b7c	Yes	30
0x0dA3B22E31309EEC06a1cc245cCBb4f70f9267fA-1771914344109	Yes	29.1
AJSV	Yes	25.94
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	25.49
striksij	Yes	23.42
BAWANGMAO	Yes	20
wozaitaibei	Yes	20
KathrynMorris6603	Yes	19

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
23:26:21	BUY	No	0.9629999978	7	$6.70
13:49:50	BUY	Yes	0.072	5	$0.36
07:08:42	SELL	No	0.926	5	$4.63
07:01:15	BUY	Yes	0.073	1	$0.08
23:35:51	BUY	Yes	0.063	5	$0.32
07:01:22	SELL	Yes	0.032	1	$0.02
06:43:43	SELL	Yes	0.032	29	$0.93
06:40:00	BUY	Yes	0.058	30	$1.72
06:20:07	BUY	No	0.966	5	$4.83
20:33:09	SELL	Yes	0.035	12	$0.41
10:19:54	BUY	Yes	0.078	12	$0.92
08:26:52	SELL	Yes	0.031	2	$0.06
11:12:25	SELL	Yes	0.0316327778	108	$3.42
22:25:16	BUY	Yes	0.072	5	$0.36
22:25:15	BUY	Yes	0.072	5	$0.36
22:25:10	BUY	Yes	0.072	5	$0.36
22:25:10	BUY	Yes	0.072	5	$0.36
04:31:10	BUY	Yes	0.054	5	$0.27
04:02:07	BUY	Yes	0.054	5	$0.27
04:00:54	BUY	Yes	0.054	5	$0.27
03:59:21	BUY	Yes	0.055	5	$0.28
02:28:07	BUY	No	0.965582	20	$19.31
17:53:51	SELL	Yes	0.032	25	$0.80
13:47:32	BUY	Yes	0.078	5	$0.39
13:12:44	SELL	No	0.923	5	$4.62