PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

KathrynMorris6603

0xc713405cb675a94e386facaeb100db6dc790891f

Realised P&L
$-778.97
Volume
$253.7k
Markets traded
429
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded429
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April? · No0.5481.000$607.00+$274.36
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? · No0.9991.000$553.00+$0.55
Michigan State Spartans vs. Temple Owls · Temple Owls0.4800.500$191.00+$7.64
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.7001.000$149.00+$44.70
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · No0.9561.000$31.98+$1.39
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · OpenAI0.4000.064$25.22$132.38
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.5600.505$2.02$0.22
Cerebras IPO before 2027? · Yes0.7401.000$1.00+$0.26
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6100.012$0.61$30.50
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? · Yes0.2600.105$0.45$0.67
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3600.095$0.20$0.56
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? · Yes0.2800.079$0.16$0.40
Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during April press conference? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$447.64
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31? · No0.6080.000$0.00$11.14
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$1.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-23 09:16Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?BUY0.548$332.64
04-21 02:58Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?SELL0.21$68.25
04-11 04:46Michigan State Spartans vs. Temple OwlsBUY0.48$183.36
04-11 03:56AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids GriffinsBUY0.248$24.80
04-10 00:17Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.18$10.62
04-09 13:01Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.18$1.80
04-09 13:00Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.18$108.54
04-09 12:59Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.18$90.54
04-08 06:42Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?BUY0.19$61.75
04-07 11:38Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.18$211.50
03-31 08:07CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?SELL0.54$433.08
03-30 16:00Will Starmer say "U-Turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?SELL0.26$19.50
03-30 04:48Will Starmer say "U-Turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?BUY0.79$59.25
03-30 04:34Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?BUY0.2$68.60
03-30 00:33CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?BUY0.68$545.36