KathrynMorris6603
0xc713405cb675a94e386facaeb100db6dc790891f
- Realised P&L
- $-778.97
- Volume
- $253.7k
- Markets traded
- 429
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded429
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$268.20at 0.300Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
- +$179.85at 0.170Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
- +$155.52at 0.520Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
- +$138.72at 0.110Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?
- +$134.28at 0.310Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 09:16 | Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April? | BUY | 0.548 | $332.64 |
| 04-21 02:58 | Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.21 | $68.25 |
| 04-11 04:46 | Michigan State Spartans vs. Temple Owls | BUY | 0.48 | $183.36 |
| 04-11 03:56 | AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins | BUY | 0.248 | $24.80 |
| 04-10 00:17 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $10.62 |
| 04-09 13:01 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 04-09 13:00 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $108.54 |
| 04-09 12:59 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $90.54 |
| 04-08 06:42 | Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | BUY | 0.19 | $61.75 |
| 04-07 11:38 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $211.50 |
| 03-31 08:07 | CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31? | SELL | 0.54 | $433.08 |
| 03-30 16:00 | Will Starmer say "U-Turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | SELL | 0.26 | $19.50 |
| 03-30 04:48 | Will Starmer say "U-Turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | BUY | 0.79 | $59.25 |
| 03-30 04:34 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $68.60 |
| 03-30 00:33 | CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $545.36 |