PolyBot

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Traders

0x0dA3B22E31309EEC06a1cc245cCBb4f70f9267fA-1771914344109

0x0da3b22e31309eec06a1cc245ccbb4f70f9267fa

Realised P&L
$-149.08
Volume
$119.6k
Markets traded
122
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded122
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6940.925$1.0k+$250.90
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1690.105$356.08$217.50
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2400.065$50.26$135.38
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4800.635$32.80+$8.01
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0810.068$6.24$1.25
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0400.058$5.86+$1.78
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8840.910$5.05+$0.15
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0330.045$4.20+$1.15
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0440.045$4.20+$0.14
Will the Republican Party win the CA-17 House seat? · Yes0.0600.021$2.97$5.32
Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1300.071$2.86$2.34
Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0270.080$2.55+$1.68
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1360.145$1.79+$0.11
Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0140.054$1.36+$1.01
Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0410.044$1.33+$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-22 16:08Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.2663279071$41.07
03-22 14:44Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 9?BUY0.016$0.24
03-22 14:44Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be 12 or more?BUY0.011$0.17
03-21 22:27Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.3$11.15
03-17 23:01Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.011$1.65
03-17 22:42Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.015$1.95
03-17 22:42Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.011$1.43
03-17 22:37Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.027$3.24
03-17 22:37Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.011$1.32
03-17 14:43Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?BUY0.2$2.00
03-17 14:43Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?BUY0.2369999287$2.39
03-17 14:43Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?BUY0.106$1.06
03-17 02:13Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?BUY0.124$1.24
03-17 02:13Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?BUY0.105$1.05
03-17 02:13Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?BUY0.123$1.23