0x0dA3B22E31309EEC06a1cc245cCBb4f70f9267fA-1771914344109
0x0da3b22e31309eec06a1cc245ccbb4f70f9267fa
- Realised P&L
- $-149.08
- Volume
- $119.6k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$813.73at 0.447Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?
- +$116.28at 0.149Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?
- +$89.80at 0.540Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
- +$56.33at 0.590Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
- +$43.00at 0.970Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-22 16:08 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.2663279071 | $41.07 |
| 03-22 14:44 | Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 9? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.24 |
| 03-22 14:44 | Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be 12 or more? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.17 |
| 03-21 22:27 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3 | $11.15 |
| 03-17 23:01 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.65 |
| 03-17 22:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.95 |
| 03-17 22:42 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.43 |
| 03-17 22:37 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.027 | $3.24 |
| 03-17 22:37 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.32 |
| 03-17 14:43 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 03-17 14:43 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison? | BUY | 0.2369999287 | $2.39 |
| 03-17 14:43 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison? | BUY | 0.106 | $1.06 |
| 03-17 02:13 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison? | BUY | 0.124 | $1.24 |
| 03-17 02:13 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison? | BUY | 0.105 | $1.05 |
| 03-17 02:13 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison? | BUY | 0.123 | $1.23 |