Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-06-30
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.38. down 0.14 over the period, from 0.52. Range 0.30 to 0.60. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.64	153	153
0.66	21	173
0.67	60	233
0.73	20	253
0.74	40	293
0.78	20	313
0.79	5	318
0.87	24	342
0.88	40	382
0.90	30	412
0.94	10	423
0.95	20	443

Spread0.51Mid0.39

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	8	8
0.12	20	28
0.10	21	49
0.08	26	75
0.07	100	175
0.06	213	388
0.05	110	498
0.04	75	573
0.03	6	578
0.02	60	638
0.01	99	737

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	8	8
0.88	20	28
0.90	21	49
0.92	26	75
0.93	100	175
0.94	213	388
0.95	110	498
0.96	75	573
0.97	6	578
0.98	60	638
0.99	99	737

Spread0.51Mid0.61

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.36	153	153
0.34	21	173
0.33	60	233
0.27	20	253
0.26	40	293
0.22	20	313
0.21	5	318
0.13	24	342
0.12	40	382
0.10	30	412
0.06	10	423
0.05	20	443

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x8Df92602EC9c454E8099D9dc4A3F0d21DaA0468C-1766855317883	Yes	297.81
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	64.08
cigarettes	Yes	62.51
X-Rabbit.Sezu	Yes	59.99
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	45
S888	Yes	37
0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951	Yes	20
alebale	Yes	20
ayosussybenny	Yes	20
0x7aa4…c822	Yes	4.07
SmartBoyBilly	Yes	2.02
SuSuDORIS	Yes	2
KimchiCapital	No	226.65
youtube-trader	No	100.32
BetaShrimp	No	79
balthazar	No	49.71
pppnn	No	38.1
ninjagamerpinny	No	28.26
GuyFromTinder	No	24.82
pootytherewardfarmer	No	22.5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
14:44:22	BUY	Yes	0.56	20	$11.20
06:46:31	BUY	Yes	0.45	65	$29.25
06:46:30	BUY	Yes	0.46	20	$9.20
09:05:57	BUY	No	0.5	20	$10.00
07:24:03	BUY	Yes	0.49	30	$14.70
05:50:37	BUY	Yes	0.41	49	$20.09
21:33:03	BUY	No	0.59	5	$2.95
17:41:53	BUY	No	0.5875	20	$11.75
17:39:37	BUY	No	0.58	30	$17.40
12:51:41	BUY	Yes	0.42	20	$8.40
00:17:22	BUY	Yes	0.56	20	$11.20
22:36:10	BUY	Yes	0.5499999828	20	$11.20
22:02:44	BUY	Yes	0.55	18	$9.90
14:40:07	SELL	Yes	0.54	2	$1.08
14:10:02	BUY	No	0.57	18	$10.26
14:10:02	BUY	No	0.47	106	$49.82
16:17:57	BUY	Yes	0.52	20	$10.40
16:08:32	BUY	No	0.44	20	$8.80
16:08:30	BUY	No	0.39	20	$7.80
13:47:41	BUY	No	0.4	20	$8.00
10:47:35	BUY	Yes	0.54	20	$10.80
14:31:11	BUY	No	0.4027272727	55	$22.15
14:26:17	BUY	Yes	0.62	10	$6.35
14:26:17	BUY	Yes	0.6099999999	131	$80.00
08:40:27	BUY	Yes	0.4	20	$8.00