0x7aa4ed5e5dbebeab9c930b9534dcf213e7f9c822
0x7aa4ed5e5dbebeab9c930b9534dcf213e7f9c822
- Realised P&L
- $-103.76
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $6.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.10at 0.307Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 2?
- +$8.20at 0.590Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 2?
- +$7.20at 0.640Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on October 2?
- +$6.76at 0.376Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$5.87at 0.206Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 14:49 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% in October? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 10-06 14:01 | Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 10-06 12:45 | Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner engaged in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 10-06 09:55 | Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | BUY | 0.525845 | $10.52 |
| 10-06 09:10 | Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 10-06 09:09 | Will Indiana be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 10-06 08:56 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 10-06 08:33 | Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 10-06 08:33 | Will Auston Matthews record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 07:34 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 10-06 07:12 | Will Texas be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 10-06 04:55 | Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 10-06 01:22 | Virginia Fonseca and Vinícius Júnior confirm breakup in 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 10-06 00:55 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 10-05 22:50 | Will Ken Calvert win the CA-40 House seat? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |