alebale
0x717111a47627254461412df6cecd697f9ba07af9
- Realised P&L
- $504.33
- Volume
- $3.53M
- Markets traded
- 2,225
- Open portfolio
- $981.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,225
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.45at 0.014Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$59.91at 0.032Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$58.72at 0.470World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland
- +$58.43at 0.043Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$55.89at 0.016Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:42 | Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.57 |
| 09-17 20:07 | Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? | SELL | 0.107 | $5.56 |
| 09-17 19:40 | Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.10 |
| 09-17 19:40 | Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.041 | $0.04 |
| 09-17 19:40 | Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.035 | $0.03 |
| 09-17 17:35 | Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch | SELL | 0.003 | $0.35 |
| 09-17 16:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-17 15:56 | Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.57 |
| 09-17 15:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-17 15:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.55 |
| 09-17 15:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-17 14:28 | Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 09:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $2.55 |
| 09-17 09:00 | Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.10 |
| 09-17 09:00 | Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.06 |