alebale
0x717111a47627254461412df6cecd697f9ba07af9
- Realised P&L
- $472.97
- Volume
- $3.04M
- Markets traded
- 1,766
- Open portfolio
- $817.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,766
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.25at 0.014Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$64.12at 0.026Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$60.71at 0.032Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$58.72at 0.470World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland
- +$54.49at 0.114Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:54 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.00 |
| 08-02 20:54 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.02 |
| 08-02 20:54 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.02 |
| 08-02 20:54 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.02 |
| 08-02 12:19 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.44 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 10:14 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.38 | $5.70 |
| 08-02 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 08-02 03:00 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.033 | $3.20 |
| 08-01 22:30 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.025 | $3.20 |
| 08-01 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 1? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 08-01 11:15 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.007 | $9.13 |
| 08-01 10:30 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.026 | $20.84 |
| 08-01 05:54 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on August 1? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.46 |
| 08-01 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 03:57 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |