PolyBot

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Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 30, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.007. up 0.006 over the period, from 0.001. Range 0.001 to 0.011. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0099696
0.0105101
0.02012113
0.1189122
0.70585207
0.70610217
0.70786303
0.70824327
0.73423350
0.73820370
0.74040410
0.77918428

Spread0.004Mid0.007

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.005145145
0.001130275

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.995145145
0.999130275

Spread0.004Mid0.993

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9919696
0.9905101
0.98012113
0.8829122
0.29585207
0.29410217
0.29386303
0.29224327
0.26623350
0.26220370
0.26040410
0.22118428

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes1,600
LornaPredictsYes277
843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.Yes95.73
lightsout912Yes64.98
chainfishYes49
AJSVYes20.21
LonelyScissorsYes18.27
jackli003Yes12
TENETENETYes10
0xe83c568e7b3C643a2787d8768F340a00FF0e0d7F-1768197654339Yes8.78
bjproloYes8
sanduspaceYes5
triklozoidYes5
0xa5ef…2966No2,124.01
HE110W0R1DNo30
gavinfundaNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:00:06BUYYes0.0069$0.05
22:27:04BUYYes0.00265$0.13
06:06:10BUYNo0.9985$4.99
00:03:16SELLYes0.00396$0.29
14:02:45BUYYes0.009616316796$0.92
10:26:09SELLYes0.0025$0.01
21:04:01SELLYes0.0013$0.00
21:03:42SELLYes0.0012$0.00
23:06:58SELLYes0.00125$0.03
14:53:39SELLYes0.00149$0.05
14:49:22SELLYes0.00151$0.05
04:51:43SELLYes0.00135$0.04
17:55:25BUYNo0.9910$9.90
17:30:48BUYNo0.995$4.95
17:27:43SELLYes0.0192333333300$5.77
11:08:25BUYNo0.9710$9.70
11:08:24BUYNo0.976$5.82
11:08:21BUYNo0.975$5.05
21:31:04BUYNo0.959$8.55