PolyBot

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Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 25, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-25

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.011. up 0.008 over the period, from 0.003. Range 0.001 to 0.015. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.01999
0.0201423
0.0505982
0.7141092
0.71585177
0.71640217
0.71757274
0.73423297
0.73720317
0.73813330
0.73958389
0.74040429

Spread0.017Mid0.010

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.002200200
0.001145345

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.998200200
0.999145345

Spread0.017Mid0.990

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.98199
0.9801423
0.9505982
0.2861092
0.28585177
0.28440217
0.28357274
0.26623297
0.26320317
0.26213330
0.26158389
0.26040429

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes1,600
LornaPredictsYes277
NoTeacherYes109.3
0xe83c568e7b3C643a2787d8768F340a00FF0e0d7F-1768197654339Yes59
chainfishYes43
AJSVYes21.21
LonelyScissorsYes18.27
jackli003Yes14.41
TENETENETYes10
kevinsdad1Yes8.79
bjproloYes8
triklozoidYes5
0xa5ef…2966No2,124.01
HE110W0R1DNo30
gavinfundaNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:54:28BUYYes0.00259$0.12
06:15:31BUYYes0.0090877402109$0.99
06:06:09BUYNo0.9995$5.00
23:49:22SELLYes0.004100$0.40
02:27:16SELLYes0.0131$0.31
14:01:40BUYYes0.009684034369$0.67
17:33:40SELLYes0.0012$0.00
17:29:03SELLYes0.0013$0.00
23:06:55SELLYes0.0015$0.01
14:53:36SELLYes0.00169$0.07
14:49:21SELLYes0.00131$0.03
05:00:43SELLYes0.00120$0.02
04:42:09SELLYes0.00135$0.04
17:55:25BUYNo0.9910$9.90
17:30:46BUYNo0.995$4.95
17:27:43SELLYes0.0192333333300$5.77
11:08:25BUYNo0.9710$9.70
11:08:24BUYNo0.976$5.82
11:08:21BUYNo0.975$5.05
21:31:04BUYNo0.959$8.55