PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-22
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.319. up 0.199 over the period, from 0.120. Range 0.006 to 0.396. 51 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3382020
0.340606626
0.42540666
0.42616681
0.42717699
0.59159758
0.5924271,185
0.5941951,380
0.595301,410
0.601681,477
0.6023001,777
0.8272402,017

Spread0.038Mid0.319

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.300624624
0.29950674
0.10467741
0.10278820
0.100101921
0.0026927
0.0011751,102

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.700624624
0.70150674
0.89667741
0.89878820
0.900101921
0.9986927
0.9991751,102

Spread0.038Mid0.681

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6622020
0.660606626
0.57540666
0.57416681
0.57317699
0.40959758
0.4084271,185
0.4061951,380
0.405301,410
0.399681,477
0.3983001,777
0.1732402,017

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes2,439.99
user089Yes1,055.82
luckybornYes139.88
0x650844936217681945a434406fFb7eaF5964245C-1736880046268Yes38.33
2B9SYes25.01
GuyFromTinderYes20
omaralexYes19.47
bjproloYes5
soliton137Yes1.75
0xa5ef…2966No2,637.75
WaterfallNo1,019.47
AJSVNo56.89
berlinskiesNo16.66
0x122Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed-1782168978900No14.46

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:42:31BUYNo0.66214$9.57
22:42:28BUYYes0.3389999998140$47.42
22:42:28BUYYes0.338034181521$7.00
20:22:07BUYNo0.75$3.53
19:54:16BUYYes0.339999986619$6.62
19:38:40BUYNo0.717$11.66
19:38:36BUYNo0.71,000$700.00
18:28:16BUYNo0.68210$6.82
18:23:30BUYNo0.72$1.08
18:23:13BUYNo0.695750944620$14.00
18:23:12BUYNo0.714$9.76
18:23:12BUYNo0.64325$16.07
18:23:12BUYNo0.64310$6.43
18:23:12BUYNo0.64314$8.68
18:23:10BUYNo0.64310$6.43
05:15:54BUYYes0.026086935738$1.00
20:45:09SELLYes0.011$0.01
14:23:06BUYNo0.98943310$9.89
11:59:40BUYNo0.9810$9.81
11:59:40BUYNo0.9810$9.80
11:59:27BUYNo0.985$4.90
11:03:03BUYNo0.939$8.18
09:47:43BUYNo0.932$2.05
09:47:39BUYNo0.9310$9.30
06:59:48BUYNo0.9219$17.69