PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Waterfall

0x63850ce907044eac77fba13d59f263ade68093f2

Realised P&L
$17.8k
Volume
$2.63M
Markets traded
1,450
Open portfolio
$11.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,450
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? · No0.6770.905$3.0k+$748.36
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1? · No0.7510.956$1.9k+$411.56
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? · No0.8720.865$1.2k$9.95
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1? · No0.7000.920$914.62+$219.09
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? · No0.5410.695$700.53+$155.01
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? · No0.6990.681$694.26$18.59
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 19, 2026? · No0.9890.993$452.01+$1.64
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 27, 2026? · No0.9890.998$445.88+$3.85
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 26, 2026? · No0.9890.996$445.21+$3.18
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 20, 2026? · No0.9890.994$444.09+$2.06
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1? · No0.8870.999$319.74+$35.68
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? · Yes0.4900.998$299.25+$152.25
Will MrBeast hit 519 million subscribers by September 30? · Yes0.6500.890$209.25+$56.43
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? · Yes0.1800.175$175.00$5.00
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? · Yes0.0980.088$90.27$10.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 19:38Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?BUY0.7$700.00
09-18 16:02Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?BUY0.88$290.39
09-18 10:35Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?BUY0.1056303868$48.78
09-18 10:29Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?BUY0.6$6.00
09-18 09:13Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?BUY0.18$180.00
09-17 15:56Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40.5 and 41.0 million views on day 5?BUY0.999$130.22
09-17 15:56Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 39.5 and 40.0 million views on day 5?BUY0.999$113.07
09-17 15:56Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40.0 and 40.5 million views on day 5?BUY0.9987816648$610.97
09-17 15:16Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40.0 and 40.5 million views on day 5?BUY0.9834046251$756.51
09-17 00:25Will MrBeast say "Contestant" during his next YouTube video?SELL0.84$31.92
09-17 00:23Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 27, 2026?BUY0.9888814318$442.03
09-17 00:23Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 26, 2026?BUY0.9888814318$442.03
09-17 00:23Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 20, 2026?BUY0.9888814318$442.03
09-17 00:22Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 19, 2026?BUY0.9888814318$442.03
09-17 00:22Will the next Claude Opus model be released on or prior to September 16, 2026?BUY0.99$19.80