Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 23, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-24
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.92. up 0.66 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.26 to 0.92. 13 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.92	821	821
0.93	350	1,171
0.94	440	1,611
0.95	620	2,231
0.96	584	2,815
0.97	432	3,247
0.98	386	3,633
0.99	123	3,756

Spread0.01Mid0.92

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	260	260
0.90	828	1,088
0.89	20	1,108
0.84	88	1,195
0.83	300	1,495
0.82	10	1,505
0.80	92	1,597
0.49	19	1,616
0.37	68	1,684
0.36	300	1,984
0.12	68	2,051
0.11	300	2,351

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	260	260
0.10	828	1,088
0.11	20	1,108
0.16	88	1,195
0.17	300	1,495
0.18	10	1,505
0.20	92	1,597
0.51	19	1,616
0.63	68	1,684
0.64	300	1,984
0.88	68	2,051
0.89	300	2,351

Spread0.01Mid0.08

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.08	821	821
0.07	350	1,171
0.06	440	1,611
0.05	620	2,231
0.04	584	2,815
0.03	432	3,247
0.02	386	3,633
0.01	123	3,756

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
dedidanc	Yes	792.9
ZalphaAI	Yes	156.45
balthazar	Yes	109.06
badbunnydtmf	Yes	70
tradetosurvive1	Yes	56.92
pmmmmmmmmmmmmmm	Yes	3.79
0xbd8b…3931	Yes	2.56
TheDao	No	300
GuyFromTinder	No	277
lissartter	No	159.85
Dr.PNL	No	153.97
AJSV	No	74.05
sdssds	No	40
pppnn	No	36.81
0x3b76…883f	No	26.12
Numitus1994	No	21
0x07e0d594bd1493576DAAc8FB0e2189Fd2e01Ac5C-1777214204168	No	20
Slackjaw	No	20
matheuscb2	No	20
0x672d…db68	No	19

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
06:29:12	BUY	No	0.1	10	$1.00
06:28:12	BUY	No	0.1	10	$1.00
06:16:39	SELL	No	0.08	23	$1.84
05:32:12	BUY	Yes	0.9	50	$45.00
05:30:06	BUY	No	0.1199999996	100	$11.99
05:19:48	BUY	Yes	0.91	20	$18.20
05:18:00	SELL	No	0.09	20	$1.80
05:17:54	BUY	Yes	0.9	1	$0.90
05:17:54	SELL	No	0.09	19	$1.71
05:17:52	BUY	Yes	0.87	553	$480.92
05:17:52	BUY	Yes	0.9	20	$18.00
04:19:06	SELL	No	0.13	20	$2.60
04:13:43	BUY	No	0.13	145	$18.85
04:00:33	BUY	Yes	0.9	20	$18.00
04:00:31	SELL	No	0.13	20	$2.60
04:00:04	SELL	No	0.13	20	$2.60
04:00:04	SELL	No	0.13	20	$2.60
03:59:55	SELL	No	0.13	20	$2.60
03:59:55	BUY	Yes	0.86	466	$400.86
03:59:55	BUY	Yes	0.87	20	$17.40
03:59:54	BUY	Yes	0.87	20	$17.40
03:22:06	SELL	No	0.14	4	$0.57
02:52:57	SELL	No	0.13	2	$0.26
02:50:20	SELL	No	0.138744	25	$3.47
02:39:06	BUY	Yes	0.83	20	$16.60