0xbd8bc8159a2f92898c6df90d1190d2c102433931
0xbd8bc8159a2f92898c6df90d1190d2c102433931
- Realised P&L
- $8.95
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $486.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.69at 0.816Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$0.96at 0.566Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
- +$0.73at 0.878Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$0.65at 0.996Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$0.50at 0.757Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 07:38 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.05 |
| 09-22 07:38 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.05 |
| 09-22 07:38 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.05 |
| 09-22 07:38 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.05 |
| 09-22 07:38 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.05 |
| 09-22 07:38 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.09 |
| 09-22 07:16 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.35 | $3.96 |
| 09-22 07:16 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.71 | $4.05 |
| 09-22 07:16 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.93 | $10.52 |
| 09-22 07:06 | Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.02 |
| 09-22 05:30 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.776 | $1.69 |
| 09-22 05:30 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.776 | $1.69 |
| 09-22 04:25 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.7 | $4.93 |
| 09-22 04:25 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.93 | $12.96 |
| 09-22 03:07 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $3.64 |