ZalphaAI
0xfc1f2cdad82b15b8191b9985dd1ac70441bca246
- Realised P&L
- $987.60
- Volume
- $426.6k
- Markets traded
- 940
- Open portfolio
- $365.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded940
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.799 | 0.910 | $142.37 | +$17.37 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.743 | 0.845 | $142.19 | +$17.19 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in September? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.941 | $81.12 | +$6.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$745.22at 0.898Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$722.72at 0.727Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
- +$477.72at 0.322Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$452.96at 0.920US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$243.30at 0.330Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 01:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | SELL | 0.2 | $0.40 |
| 09-22 01:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | SELL | 0.35 | $0.80 |
| 09-22 01:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6999998833 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 00:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.8699999995 | $75.00 |
| 09-22 00:42 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.7989836136 | $125.00 |
| 09-22 00:42 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7428684626 | $125.00 |
| 09-21 22:45 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? | SELL | 0.991 | $278.36 |
| 09-20 01:33 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? | BUY | 0.8899999997 | $250.00 |
| 09-20 01:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | SELL | 0.13 | $2.90 |
| 09-20 01:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3142227825 | $7.00 |
| 09-20 01:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | BUY | 0.9199999761 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 01:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999951 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 01:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $27.49 |
| 09-20 01:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 01:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $3.14 |