PolyBot

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Will the median home value in Austin Metro be at least $446,000 on December 31?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-11

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.07 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.06 to 0.20. 165 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.123030
0.13102132
0.1450182
0.1540222
0.1696318
0.179327
0.2330357
0.248364
0.3430394
0.4630424
0.5840464
0.595469

Spread0.09Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.03105105
0.02193298
0.0160358

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.97105105
0.98193298
0.9960358

Spread0.09Mid0.93

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.883030
0.87102132
0.8650182
0.8540222
0.8496318
0.839327
0.7730357
0.768364
0.6630394
0.5430424
0.4240464
0.415469

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes137.89
radeksaturkaYes95.86
tradetosurvive1Yes61.52
HaradwaithYes49.01
0x3a9d…f332Yes22
GuyFromTinderYes19.7
0xd0d9…30f2Yes15
0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998Yes7.61
alamedamemolaNo187.98
0xa5ef…2966No127.04
cigarettesNo67.61
pppnnNo21
BKNovaNo5.49

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:34:03BUYYes0.0721$1.50
11:29:45BUYNo0.955$5.14
11:29:45BUYNo0.9510$9.50
17:38:01BUYNo0.956$5.70
12:22:07BUYNo0.89188$167.30
21:23:03SELLYes0.0744$3.08
19:14:15BUYNo0.9225$22.95
18:56:02SELLNo0.893$2.67
18:55:03SELLNo0.8919$16.91
18:54:54SELLNo0.919$17.10
18:54:53BUYYes0.119$1.90
18:54:51BUYYes0.120$2.00
18:54:51BUYYes0.123$2.30
18:49:53BUYNo0.932$1.43
18:49:53BUYNo0.937$6.11
17:46:53BUYNo0.9313$12.55
14:09:09BUYNo0.932$1.67
14:09:09BUYNo0.9310$9.30
02:42:58BUYYes0.0960$5.40
00:47:53BUYYes0.069999997214$1.01
00:47:50SELLYes0.0727$1.89
22:14:20BUYYes0.141$4.10
14:47:10SELLNo0.920$18.00
14:00:49BUYYes0.15$0.50
14:00:49BUYYes0.122$2.20