BKNova
0x7c3dcd3cd377afd5953cf1a5c6393a014edcac13
- Realised P&L
- $-7.13
- Volume
- $299.10
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $66.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.50at 0.851Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?
- +$1.65at 0.676Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
- +$0.19at 0.963Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 17:14 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $437,000 and $446,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.8299998465 | $4.00 |
| 10-06 13:42 | Will the median home value in Dallas Metro be less than $379,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.04 |
| 10-06 04:07 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $507,000 and $511,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.0739393939 | $9.76 |
| 10-05 21:12 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 18:45 | Will the median home value in the US be at least $423,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 18:45 | Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $423,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 18:44 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $437,000 and $446,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.899999928 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 18:44 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be at least $446,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 13:24 | Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.8989999996 | $31.95 |
| 09-21 22:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 22:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | SELL | 0.9 | $6.81 |
| 09-21 22:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 22:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $5.19 |
| 09-21 22:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 22:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |