Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-08
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.33. down 0.04 over the period, from 0.36. Range 0.27 to 0.40. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.34	77	77
0.35	120	197
0.36	20	217
0.38	150	367
0.42	20	387
0.45	13	400
0.58	20	420
0.69	20	440
0.80	20	460
0.83	6	465
0.84	6	472
0.85	280	752

Spread0.02Mid0.33

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.32	176	176
0.31	100	276
0.30	20	296
0.23	31	327
0.10	21	348
0.07	28,891	29,240
0.05	50,000	79,240
0.03	83,341	162,581
0.02	150,000	312,581
0.01	50	312,630

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.68	176	176
0.69	100	276
0.70	20	296
0.77	31	327
0.90	21	348
0.93	28,891	29,240
0.95	50,000	79,240
0.97	83,341	162,581
0.98	150,000	312,581
0.99	50	312,630

Spread0.02Mid0.67

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.66	77	77
0.65	120	197
0.64	20	217
0.62	150	367
0.58	20	387
0.55	13	400
0.42	20	420
0.31	20	440
0.20	20	460
0.17	6	465
0.16	6	472
0.15	280	752

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
InterestingUser	Yes	625
Isengard1	Yes	202
Anononono	Yes	199.99
Bsau4	Yes	73.07
winexecutescale	Yes	40
tradetosurvive1	Yes	23
Respire	Yes	10.03
balthazar	Yes	9.88
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	9
0x5e7EAF1647Fa9db1E43ce1CDE2c183A486312cb6-1790262226934	Yes	4.98
GuyFromTinder	Yes	4.35
Fleurs	Yes	4.35
ogi250	Yes	3.45
wallet-account-test	No	238
AccountUsername	No	198.93
0xa5ef…2966	No	165.39
shiifoo	No	145
Fihdrzgdd	No	125
0x9e24bD0ebC6A423C43cf600E7bF1170A867B7e71-1775632553699	No	84.11
tth901022	No	78.13

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
23:40:51	BUY	Yes	0.3	60	$17.96
11:18:45	BUY	Yes	0.32	20	$6.40
11:18:45	BUY	Yes	0.32	20	$6.40
11:18:45	SELL	No	0.68	20	$13.60
06:32:24	BUY	Yes	0.349999977	11	$3.81
06:32:24	SELL	No	0.65	31	$20.15
06:31:21	BUY	No	0.6599999667	14	$9.11
19:57:14	SELL	No	0.66	20	$13.20
16:57:08	SELL	No	0.7139215686	51	$36.41
16:56:59	BUY	Yes	0.28	91	$25.48
13:48:54	SELL	No	0.71	2	$1.17
13:32:33	SELL	No	0.71	2	$1.17
13:32:02	SELL	No	0.71	10	$7.14
13:32:00	SELL	No	0.71	10	$7.14
13:32:00	SELL	No	0.71	10	$7.14
13:31:59	SELL	No	0.71	10	$7.14
13:31:59	SELL	No	0.71	10	$7.14
13:31:57	SELL	No	0.71	10	$7.14
13:31:57	SELL	No	0.71	10	$7.14
13:31:26	SELL	No	0.71	10	$7.14
13:30:18	SELL	No	0.71	10	$7.12
13:30:17	SELL	No	0.71	10	$7.12
12:19:12	BUY	Yes	0.26	5	$1.29
12:19:12	SELL	No	0.74	10	$7.41
12:19:12	BUY	Yes	0.26	5	$1.30