Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.45. up 0.15 over the period, from 0.29. Range 0.29 to 0.61. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.45	70	70
0.46	20	90
0.50	50	140
0.51	14	154
0.66	21	175
0.84	6	181
0.89	9	190
0.92	7	197
0.93	14	211
0.94	33	244
0.95	21	265
0.96	25	290

Spread0.01Mid0.45

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.44	180	180
0.43	20	200
0.30	23	223
0.29	24	247
0.28	96	344
0.25	87	431
0.21	222	652
0.20	10	662
0.06	10	672
0.05	19	691
0.04	27	718
0.03	750	1,468

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.56	180	180
0.57	20	200
0.70	23	223
0.71	24	247
0.72	96	344
0.75	87	431
0.79	222	652
0.80	10	662
0.94	10	672
0.95	19	691
0.96	27	718
0.97	750	1,468

Spread0.01Mid0.56

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.55	70	70
0.54	20	90
0.50	50	140
0.49	14	154
0.34	21	175
0.16	6	181
0.11	9	190
0.08	7	197
0.07	14	211
0.06	33	244
0.05	21	265
0.04	25	290

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x1fe7…7fa7	Yes	2,739.95
tradetosurvive1	Yes	180.26
0xa2bF3B2CED564Ce53d9FB2690b210D3aE61295D3-1773945055521	Yes	148
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	120.01
0xDC719Fde6ed998a38F28DEA0af7B653047a526D8-1723323482067	Yes	55.4
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	Yes	50
pppnn	Yes	44.92
BASSATS01	Yes	40.41
PPMT	Yes	30.08
ImSweating	Yes	30
tkttttt	Yes	19.42
benngai	Yes	17.54
LAVALAVALAVA	Yes	10
0xFf12c076486622f6492023399a4E84d46dFbcDC4-1771515289272	Yes	10
0xfb24c263325b6C3C09339b26E932Ba0481a0bBeA-1773654965779	Yes	8.93
cx2	Yes	8.39
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	7.94
Mabar1906	Yes	5
smileudance	Yes	4.65
0xe83c568e7b3C643a2787d8768F340a00FF0e0d7F-1768197654339	Yes	4.21

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
16:33:28	BUY	No	0.55	73	$40.01
08:13:59	SELL	No	0.53	15	$7.95
05:44:21	BUY	Yes	0.48	10	$4.85
05:43:55	BUY	No	0.5109090909	55	$28.10
05:43:21	BUY	No	0.48	30	$14.40
19:41:02	BUY	Yes	0.49	10	$4.85
19:40:15	SELL	No	0.5577618621	89	$49.84
05:16:11	BUY	Yes	0.4399999977	52	$22.98
18:07:25	SELL	No	0.56	50	$28.00
17:14:58	BUY	No	0.53	51	$26.82
17:14:16	SELL	No	0.56	51	$28.34
17:12:51	SELL	No	0.53	39	$20.67
17:12:49	SELL	No	0.53	10	$5.30
17:12:48	SELL	No	0.53	10	$5.30
17:12:43	SELL	No	0.5492040256	109	$60.03
17:11:10	SELL	No	0.57	5	$3.07
17:10:31	SELL	No	0.57	110	$62.70
17:09:55	BUY	No	0.56	55	$30.80
17:09:28	BUY	No	0.5017741935	310	$155.55
13:22:25	SELL	No	0.5536906171	592	$327.51
13:22:25	BUY	Yes	0.48	150	$72.00
10:15:12	SELL	No	0.58	6	$3.28
09:28:52	SELL	No	0.61	50	$30.50
08:43:10	SELL	No	0.66	10	$6.60
08:26:28	SELL	No	0.64	6	$3.62