PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfb24c263325b6C3C09339b26E932Ba0481a0bBeA-1773654965779

0x799bd620f7159beeb9dd1eaab408b6fa583b1613

Realised P&L
$16.33
Volume
$788.04
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$130.61

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 02:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15?BUY0.765999981$5.00
10-15 02:31Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?BUY0.8811881136$10.00
10-14 01:55Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.8499999915$10.00
10-13 03:17Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.8899999252$10.00
10-13 03:14Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?BUY0.8819999596$10.00
10-12 07:15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.8599999983$10.00
10-12 07:15Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.9$10.00
10-10 10:30Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8199999967$10.00
10-10 10:29Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?BUY0.8799999507$10.00
10-10 10:27Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8599999983$10.00
10-08 14:41Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?SELL0.857$9.23
10-08 14:40Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?SELL0.6217395234$7.57
10-08 11:40Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.9279999993$10.00
10-08 11:39Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.8214720537$10.00
10-08 11:39Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on October 8?BUY0.8499999915$10.00