0xfb24c263325b6C3C09339b26E932Ba0481a0bBeA-1773654965779
0x799bd620f7159beeb9dd1eaab408b6fa583b1613
- Realised P&L
- $16.33
- Volume
- $788.04
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $130.61
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 02:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.765999981 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 02:31 | Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8811881136 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 01:55 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 03:17 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8899999252 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 03:14 | Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8819999596 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 07:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 07:15 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 10:30 | Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 10:29 | Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | BUY | 0.8799999507 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 10:27 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 14:41 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.857 | $9.23 |
| 10-08 14:40 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.6217395234 | $7.57 |
| 10-08 11:40 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9279999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 11:39 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.8214720537 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 11:39 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on October 8? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |