PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LAVALAVALAVA

0xa64ba07e34b3caa831d8aced47de7bc0eed312f8

Realised P&L
$-52.46
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$82.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 02:26Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.67$3.35
09-30 02:25Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?BUY0.19$7.68
09-30 02:23Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?BUY0.23$2.30
09-30 02:19Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?BUY0.229999994$5.00
09-30 02:19Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?BUY0.1899999962$5.00
09-30 02:19Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?BUY0.3499999825$5.00
09-30 02:18Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.953$9.53
09-30 02:18Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.962$9.62
09-30 02:17Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$4.60
09-30 02:15Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?BUY0.229999994$5.00
09-30 02:13Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?BUY0.1899999962$5.00
08-20 07:50Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?BUY0.06$0.66
08-20 07:49Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$18.20
07-26 05:47Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?BUY0.87$17.40
07-26 05:44Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?BUY0.33$3.30