LAVALAVALAVA
0xa64ba07e34b3caa831d8aced47de7bc0eed312f8
- Realised P&L
- $-52.46
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $82.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.20at 0.670Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
- +$9.25at 0.537Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
- +$8.50at 0.515Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
- +$8.44at 0.559Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 21?
- +$5.44at 0.450Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 02:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 09-30 02:25 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $7.68 |
| 09-30 02:23 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 09-30 02:19 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 02:19 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 02:19 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 02:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.953 | $9.53 |
| 09-30 02:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.962 | $9.62 |
| 09-30 02:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 09-30 02:15 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 02:13 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 07:50 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.66 |
| 08-20 07:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 07-26 05:47 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 07-26 05:44 | Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |