Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
- Tick
- 0.01
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2027-01-01
- Resolves by
- https://agi.safe.ai/
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.47 | 44 | 44 |
| 0.48 | 100 | 144 |
| 0.55 | 16 | 160 |
| 0.56 | 16 | 175 |
| 0.65 | 16 | 191 |
| 0.73 | 5 | 196 |
| 0.83 | 40 | 236 |
| 0.84 | 6 | 243 |
| 0.89 | 9 | 252 |
| 0.92 | 7 | 259 |
| 0.93 | 14 | 273 |
| 0.95 | 21 | 294 |
Spread0.08Mid0.43
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.39 | 237 | 237 |
| 0.38 | 20 | 257 |
| 0.37 | 94 | 351 |
| 0.23 | 131 | 482 |
| 0.20 | 5 | 487 |
| 0.19 | 37 | 524 |
| 0.18 | 39 | 563 |
| 0.17 | 110 | 673 |
| 0.16 | 160 | 833 |
| 0.08 | 8 | 840 |
| 0.07 | 274 | 1,114 |
| 0.05 | 164 | 1,278 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.61 | 237 | 237 |
| 0.62 | 20 | 257 |
| 0.63 | 94 | 351 |
| 0.77 | 131 | 482 |
| 0.80 | 5 | 487 |
| 0.81 | 37 | 524 |
| 0.82 | 39 | 563 |
| 0.83 | 110 | 673 |
| 0.84 | 160 | 833 |
| 0.92 | 8 | 840 |
| 0.93 | 274 | 1,114 |
| 0.95 | 164 | 1,278 |
Spread0.08Mid0.57
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.53 | 44 | 44 |
| 0.52 | 100 | 144 |
| 0.45 | 16 | 160 |
| 0.44 | 16 | 175 |
| 0.35 | 16 | 191 |
| 0.27 | 5 | 196 |
| 0.17 | 40 | 236 |
| 0.16 | 6 | 243 |
| 0.11 | 9 | 252 |
| 0.08 | 7 | 259 |
| 0.07 | 14 | 273 |
| 0.05 | 21 | 294 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Milksheen | Yes | 1,563.25 |
| pragmat1sm | Yes | 1,094.81 |
| endoption | Yes | 135.81 |
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | Yes | 124 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 114.81 |
| Bozuaoyopoezikalokolambongoyaesprit. | Yes | 94.63 |
| kingtyrone | Yes | 40 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 40 |
| SuperTests | Yes | 36 |
| bechamel | Yes | 20 |
| 0xfb24c263325b6C3C09339b26E932Ba0481a0bBeA-1773654965779 | Yes | 9.62 |
| Onswaggie | Yes | 8.33 |
| cx2 | Yes | 8 |
| 79fsdfs | Yes | 7.24 |
| pppnn | Yes | 4.48 |
| gonnakilmyslf | Yes | 4.01 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 3.47 |
| leantiger | Yes | 1 |
| dedidanc | No | 633.43 |
| Mr.Frog🐸 | No | 503.01 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:16:46 | BUY | No | 0.54 | 20 | $10.80 |
| 16:16:42 | BUY | No | 0.5429770765 | 67 | $36.48 |
| 16:14:01 | SELL | Yes | 0.46 | 0 | $0.20 |
| 14:45:28 | BUY | Yes | 0.4225 | 80 | $33.80 |
| 22:45:11 | SELL | No | 0.6 | 1 | $0.47 |
| 22:45:09 | SELL | No | 0.6 | 27 | $15.97 |
| 17:54:10 | SELL | No | 0.69 | 10 | $6.90 |
| 17:54:06 | SELL | No | 0.69 | 10 | $6.90 |
| 17:38:04 | SELL | No | 0.7 | 13 | $8.89 |
| 17:38:03 | SELL | No | 0.69 | 30 | $20.70 |
| 17:37:57 | SELL | No | 0.7 | 30 | $21.00 |
| 17:37:49 | SELL | No | 0.71 | 30 | $21.30 |
| 17:36:45 | SELL | No | 0.58 | 1 | $0.43 |
| 17:36:31 | BUY | No | 0.6038517057 | 208 | $125.50 |
| 15:39:24 | SELL | No | 0.58 | 19 | $11.17 |
| 15:39:21 | BUY | Yes | 0.4015518584 | 95 | $38.00 |
| 13:10:54 | BUY | No | 0.6516072923 | 77 | $50.00 |
| 07:24:52 | SELL | Yes | 0.26 | 5 | $1.33 |
| 02:46:17 | BUY | Yes | 0.35 | 15 | $5.25 |
| 20:57:01 | BUY | No | 0.63 | 22 | $14.05 |
| 10:14:48 | BUY | No | 0.63 | 13 | $8.08 |
| 09:26:25 | SELL | No | 0.6 | 20 | $12.26 |
| 01:55:35 | SELL | Yes | 0.35 | 20 | $7.00 |
| 22:55:23 | BUY | No | 0.61 | 25 | $15.32 |
| 20:02:47 | BUY | No | 0.61 | 20 | $12.20 |