PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

leantiger

0xa1b1414d30b103ba28e58f6ccfa41fcbd6fc6a83

Realised P&L
$-274.29
Volume
$17.4k
Markets traded
218
Open portfolio
$476.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded218
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? · No0.7110.685$42.59−$1.64
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.7190.765$26.76+$1.62
Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026? · No0.4310.225$17.55−$16.08
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? · No0.8600.830$17.37−$0.63
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31? · Anthropic + OpenAI 0.4300.325$16.25−$5.25
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on October 31, 2026? · No0.7300.745$15.51+$0.31
Will EFG Win the 2026 Esports Tournament Organiser of the Year Award? · No0.8140.735$14.69−$1.59
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.715$14.30+$0.30
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? · No0.8100.675$13.50−$2.70
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Mark Rutte by October 31, 2026? · No0.6100.650$13.00+$0.80
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by October 31, 2026? · No0.8800.640$12.80−$4.80
Will the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win the 2026 Japan Series? · No0.5700.595$11.90+$0.50
Will Al-Faisaly be relegated from the 2026-27 Saudi Professional League? · No0.6690.590$11.80−$1.58
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · No0.2500.235$11.03−$0.70
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? · No0.7000.495$9.90−$4.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 01:45Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?BUY0.7799999956$21.33
10-09 01:35Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?BUY0.91$45.50
10-09 01:21Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 4.00 to 4.99 ft by November 30?BUY0.8509999856$4.26
10-09 01:07Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?BUY0.2999999806$1.55
10-09 01:00Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 35%-40%?BUY0.7699999812$8.19
10-09 00:14Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999982$5.52
10-09 00:12Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1008637869$5.52
10-08 23:09Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.5499999586$5.32
10-08 22:24Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?BUY0.42$3.36
10-08 22:23Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?BUY0.4103088657$5.25
10-08 21:41Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?BUY0.5599999961$11.40
10-08 21:37Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?BUY0.32$3.96
10-08 21:36Will Donald Trump publicly praise Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6499999896$6.27
10-08 21:36Will Jeremiyah Love win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?BUY0.3499999895$3.33
10-08 21:21Will D'Andre Swift have 999.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.28$5.60