PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Bozuaoyopoezikalokolambongoyaesprit.

0x8725d12599dea6c65d6775c5817dc722aa4601a3

Realised P&L
$-177.65
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$73.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration81.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? · Yes0.4020.450$42.58+$4.58
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6200.640$15.48+$0.48
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.3600.240$7.97−$3.98
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31? · Yes0.1700.065$5.74−$9.26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.037$2.22−$3.77
Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$8.00
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$40.00
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$5.00
Iran leadership change by May 31? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50? · No0.1460.000$0.00−$25.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 15:39Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?BUY0.4015518584$38.00
09-27 21:42Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?BUY0.1699999983$15.00
09-27 21:41Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6199999942$15.00
09-27 21:41Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8099999449$8.09
09-27 20:03Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.359999994$11.95
06-25 21:02Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$5.99
06-25 20:57Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?SELL0.001$0.13
06-18 14:59Trump out as President by June 30?SELL0.004$0.91
05-07 00:57US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY0.08$3.00
05-07 00:55Trump out as President by June 30?BUY0.0220000001$5.00
05-04 20:29Iran leadership change by May 31?BUY0.109999997$30.00
04-29 21:23Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.0260000002$5.00
04-29 20:39Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.996$58.49
04-16 20:25DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?BUY0.7899999196$1.67
04-09 23:21Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?SELL0.0024303889$1.67