Bozuaoyopoezikalokolambongoyaesprit.
0x8725d12599dea6c65d6775c5817dc722aa4601a3
- Realised P&L
- $-177.65
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $73.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? · Yes | 0.402 | 0.450 | $42.58 | +$4.58 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.640 | $15.48 | +$0.48 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.240 | $7.97 | −$3.98 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.065 | $5.74 | −$9.26 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.037 | $2.22 | −$3.77 |
| Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50? · No | 0.146 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.24at 0.430Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$5.38at 0.902Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?
- +$1.90at 0.810Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?
- +$0.44at 0.790DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
- +$-3.33at 0.007Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 15:39 | Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | BUY | 0.4015518584 | $38.00 |
| 09-27 21:42 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $15.00 |
| 09-27 21:41 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999942 | $15.00 |
| 09-27 21:41 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999449 | $8.09 |
| 09-27 20:03 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.359999994 | $11.95 |
| 06-25 21:02 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.99 |
| 06-25 20:57 | Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.13 |
| 06-18 14:59 | Trump out as President by June 30? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.91 |
| 05-07 00:57 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 05-07 00:55 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.0220000001 | $5.00 |
| 05-04 20:29 | Iran leadership change by May 31? | BUY | 0.109999997 | $30.00 |
| 04-29 21:23 | Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0260000002 | $5.00 |
| 04-29 20:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.996 | $58.49 |
| 04-16 20:25 | DeepSeek V4 released by April 30? | BUY | 0.7899999196 | $1.67 |
| 04-09 23:21 | Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50? | SELL | 0.0024303889 | $1.67 |