Onswaggie
0x9b0865ac699d79b1c1357ed6948c9fac984c4632
- Realised P&L
- $-381.05
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 355
- Open portfolio
- $498.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded355
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.39at 0.228Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
- +$24.72at 0.443Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$23.70at 0.259Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?
- +$14.31at 0.417Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?
- +$14.15at 0.420Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 03:43 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.14 |
| 10-26 01:04 | Chiefs vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 10-23 00:59 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-23 00:43 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999927 | $15.00 |
| 10-18 17:50 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.7699999795 | $6.00 |
| 10-18 17:44 | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999827 | $8.00 |
| 10-16 00:36 | Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.87 |
| 10-16 00:35 | Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999767 | $6.00 |
| 10-15 00:23 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.64 | $8.00 |
| 10-15 00:18 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.7099999846 | $6.00 |
| 10-15 00:10 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $6.00 |
| 10-15 00:05 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 21:50 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 17:17 | Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 10-12 16:28 | Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon? | BUY | 0.0699999998 | $3.00 |