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Traders

dilatingradio

0x8ab17e058adf3ba7d9dc517076cd94892fe86293

Realised P&L
$-491.21
Volume
$19.4k
Markets traded
139
Open portfolio
$171.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded139
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0470.047$40.26+$0.26
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5700.585$30.79+$0.79
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.195$24.38+$4.38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8300.962$23.17+$3.17
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.5740.360$18.84$11.16
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5290.075$14.16$85.83
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? · Yes0.0920.098$10.60+$0.60
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7550.067$8.81$91.19
Will Andy Burnham say "Social Media" during the next PMQ? · Yes0.9200.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 14:48Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0490361455$20.00
09-16 14:45Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.04456959$20.00
09-08 19:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.6999999944$25.00
09-08 18:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.5341225129$25.00
09-08 18:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETBUY0.829999998$25.00
09-08 18:50Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?BUY0.0919999993$10.00
09-08 18:49Will Andy Burnham say "Social Media" during the next PMQ?BUY0.92$20.00
09-08 18:49Will Andy Burnham say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during the next PMQ?BUY0.2699999966$20.00
09-08 18:45Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.5699999994$30.00
09-08 18:43Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$20.00
09-08 18:42Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?BUY0.5740432565$30.00
09-08 18:42LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY0.539999986$20.00
07-06 11:07Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5199999938$20.00
07-06 11:07Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6199999981$20.00
07-06 11:07Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.2799999916$20.00
Trader dilatingradio · PolyBot Pro