PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mtm6

0x734b24456543c5832001590cf9a397ee71eb2a2c

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$314.1k
Markets traded
2,166
Open portfolio
$191.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,166
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pedro Paulo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? · No0.8200.784$31.44$1.42
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? · No0.9340.932$16.94$0.03
Will Weverton Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election? · No0.7030.660$14.51$0.95
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government? · Yes0.7000.725$11.60+$0.40
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September? · Yes0.4620.385$9.59$1.92
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.8000.790$7.90$0.10
Will Sønderjyske be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga? · No0.3000.345$6.90+$0.90
Will Disney get the U.S. English-language rights to broadcast the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3100.345$6.90+$0.70
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.2840.275$6.85$0.22
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? · No0.7460.667$6.67$0.79
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · Yes0.1400.130$6.50$0.50
Will Breece Hall have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.1900.270$5.40+$1.60
Will PI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes0.4100.250$5.00$3.20
Will NK Radomlje be relegated from the 2026-27 Slovenian PrvaLiga? · Yes0.0700.285$4.56+$3.44
Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? · Yes0.2500.220$4.55$0.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 21:33Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?SELL0.44$8.80
09-14 20:46Will Sønderjyske be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?SELL0.28$5.60
09-14 07:35Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?SELL0.42$8.40
09-13 18:24Will FC Seoul be relegated from the 2026 K-League?SELL0.03$0.60
09-13 18:03Will "Westside Whimsy - Jhené Aiko" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 26?SELL0.58$2.90
09-13 17:59Will "Westside Whimsy - Jhené Aiko" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 26?SELL0.25$5.00
09-13 17:25Will "Westside Whimsy - Jhené Aiko" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 26?SELL0.54$5.40
09-13 16:22Will Silkeborg be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?SELL0.16$3.20
09-13 14:09Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September?SELL0.49$0.05
09-13 12:39Will Trujillanos be relegated from the 2026 Venezuelan Primera División?SELL0.14$2.80
09-13 06:13Will NK Radomlje be relegated from the 2026-27 Slovenian PrvaLiga?SELL0.12$2.40
09-12 23:32Will Bodø/Glimt be relegated from the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?SELL0.01$0.20
09-12 18:18Will Gladson Camelí win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?SELL0.12$0.60
09-12 18:06Will Gladson Camelí win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?SELL0.12$1.20
09-11 00:37Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.11$2.20