Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.026. down 0.003 over the period, from 0.029. Range 0.025 to 0.030. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.030	50	50
0.032	9	59
0.033	44	103
0.034	320	423
0.036	105	528
0.037	828	1,356
0.038	939	2,295
0.039	1,307	3,602
0.040	615	4,217
0.041	5	4,222
0.050	450	4,672
0.051	2,000	6,672

Spread0.007Mid0.026

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.023	121	121
0.022	290	411
0.020	42	453
0.019	691	1,144
0.018	2,000	3,144
0.017	1,377	4,521
0.016	220	4,741
0.013	187	4,928
0.012	20	4,948
0.007	20	4,968
0.006	727	5,695
0.005	20	5,715

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.977	121	121
0.978	290	411
0.980	42	453
0.981	691	1,144
0.982	2,000	3,144
0.983	1,377	4,521
0.984	220	4,741
0.987	187	4,928
0.988	20	4,948
0.993	20	4,968
0.994	727	5,695
0.995	20	5,715

Spread0.007Mid0.974

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.970	50	50
0.968	9	59
0.967	44	103
0.966	320	423
0.964	105	528
0.963	828	1,356
0.962	939	2,295
0.961	1,307	3,602
0.960	615	4,217
0.959	5	4,222
0.950	450	4,672
0.949	2,000	6,672

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
hithitfar	Yes	476.25
hitunfar	Yes	372.5
thecaricature	Yes	237.19
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	104.55
Numitus1994	Yes	71.21
Oklmntrader	Yes	52.09
sirjhow01	Yes	50
0x75d1…90da	Yes	44
shwanhk123	Yes	43
JakeBeez	Yes	40
Daanf567	Yes	33.33
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	30.86
PPMT	Yes	29.92
AJSV	Yes	29.92
11xBbF	Yes	26.32
daroghi	Yes	25
LBZbot2	Yes	20
snic	Yes	20
0x0c67…1142	Yes	19.39
nagletti	Yes	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:00:16	SELL	Yes	0.022	20	$0.44
15:19:09	SELL	Yes	0.02	30	$0.60
15:17:28	SELL	Yes	0.01980625	40	$0.79
15:17:22	SELL	Yes	0.022	10	$0.22
15:07:36	SELL	Yes	0.031	20	$0.62
15:07:31	SELL	Yes	0.031	50	$1.55
15:07:25	SELL	Yes	0.031	20	$0.62
15:07:21	SELL	Yes	0.0281538462	29	$0.82
15:07:18	SELL	No	0.966	20	$19.32
15:06:06	SELL	Yes	0.031	129	$4.01
15:03:40	SELL	Yes	0.033	43	$1.42
14:59:15	BUY	Yes	0.024	44	$1.05
14:55:36	SELL	Yes	0.023	10	$0.23
14:51:23	BUY	Yes	0.0337647059	170	$5.74
20:13:12	BUY	No	0.977	39	$37.78
16:56:31	SELL	No	0.971	5	$4.96
16:56:09	BUY	No	0.9769999971	5	$5.00
13:05:43	SELL	No	0.971	5	$4.96
13:05:24	BUY	No	0.9769999971	5	$5.00
21:41:24	SELL	Yes	0.023	20	$0.46
21:40:16	SELL	Yes	0.027	20	$0.54
21:39:46	BUY	No	0.971	40	$38.84
08:47:42	BUY	No	0.9769999971	1	$1.01
08:47:42	SELL	No	0.967	10	$9.67
08:47:37	SELL	No	0.97	10	$9.70