0x75d158c1249bc6763c1eeb991cfb0d3788ac90da
- Realised P&L
- $-804.22
- Volume
- $361.6k
- Markets traded
- 8,391
- Open portfolio
- $68.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,391
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.733 | $58.60 | +$49.88 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.033 | $3.41 | −$0.79 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.026 | $1.86 | −$1.90 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.029 | $1.25 | −$0.51 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.015 | $0.90 | −$2.01 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.034 | $0.84 | −$2.66 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.022 | $0.56 | −$4.44 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.018 | $0.51 | −$2.38 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.014 | $0.42 | −$2.28 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.025 | $0.20 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$476.59at 0.745Ethereum above 2,365 on April 27, 9AM ET?
- +$448.88at 0.745Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 27?
- +$406.40at 0.745Bitcoin above 80,000 on April 27, 7AM ET?
- +$402.84at 0.745Ethereum above 2,365 on April 27, 8AM ET?
- +$369.55at 0.745Ethereum above 2,370 on April 24, 8PM ET?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 14:37 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on July 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-08 13:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 8? | BUY | 0.948 | $23.70 |
| 07-08 13:06 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on July 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-07 13:06 | Ethereum above 1,740 on July 7, 10AM ET? | BUY | 0.99 | $142.56 |
| 07-07 12:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 7? | BUY | 0.985 | $74.86 |
| 07-06 13:00 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.34 |
| 07-05 23:06 | Bitcoin above 62,400 on July 5, 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-05 23:06 | Ethereum above 1,750 on July 5, 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-05 23:05 | Ethereum above 1,740 on July 5, 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-05 23:04 | Ethereum above 1,720 on July 5, 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-05 23:03 | Ethereum above 1,730 on July 5, 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-05 23:01 | Bitcoin above 61,800 on July 5, 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-05 23:01 | Bitcoin above 65,400 on July 5, 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-04 23:04 | Ethereum above 1,860 on July 4, 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-04 23:04 | Ethereum above 1,840 on July 4, 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |