0x75d158c1249bc6763c1eeb991cfb0d3788ac90da
- Realised P&L
- $-835.72
- Volume
- $361.7k
- Markets traded
- 8,391
- Open portfolio
- $37.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,391
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.324 | $25.92 | +$17.20 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.043 | $4.50 | +$0.30 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.026 | $1.90 | −$1.87 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.031 | $1.36 | −$0.40 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.016 | $0.99 | −$1.92 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.029 | $0.74 | −$2.76 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.026 | $0.65 | −$4.35 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.016 | $0.48 | −$2.22 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.009 | $0.25 | −$2.64 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.025 | $0.19 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.36at 0.841Bitcoin above 66,800 on March 28, 10AM ET?
- +$67.20at 0.751Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?
- +$34.78at 0.630Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
- +$29.19at 0.872Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4?
- +$25.92at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 14:37 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on July 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-08 13:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 8? | BUY | 0.948 | $23.70 |
| 07-08 13:06 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on July 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-07 13:06 | Ethereum above 1,740 on July 7, 10AM ET? | BUY | 0.99 | $142.56 |
| 07-07 12:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 7? | BUY | 0.985 | $74.86 |
| 07-06 13:00 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.34 |
| 07-05 23:06 | Bitcoin above 62,400 on July 5, 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-05 23:06 | Ethereum above 1,750 on July 5, 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-05 23:05 | Ethereum above 1,740 on July 5, 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-05 23:04 | Ethereum above 1,720 on July 5, 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-05 23:03 | Ethereum above 1,730 on July 5, 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-05 23:01 | Bitcoin above 61,800 on July 5, 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-05 23:01 | Bitcoin above 65,400 on July 5, 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-04 23:04 | Ethereum above 1,860 on July 4, 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-04 23:04 | Ethereum above 1,840 on July 4, 8PM ET? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |