PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hitunfar

0xb98044b49fdb4b06b88e9628a4e56366057473b0

Realised P&L
$8.3k
Volume
$439.1k
Markets traded
3,234
Open portfolio
$4.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded3,234
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration46.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? · No0.9510.977$725.53+$19.24
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9780.992$695.88+$9.47
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9480.976$401.45+$11.30
Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9510.988$305.76+$11.46
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9440.991$289.11+$13.74
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9510.983$258.53+$8.29
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.9660.984$182.95+$3.30
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9720.996$155.48+$3.67
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4450.625$131.19+$37.71
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $500B by December 31? · No0.9000.964$125.19+$8.19
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9660.984$112.71+$2.01
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No0.9160.970$92.19+$5.14
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? · No0.8070.965$81.31+$13.31
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9280.974$78.93+$3.67
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? · No0.8880.972$76.78+$6.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:27Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6.5 million?BUY0.4899999951$13.03
11-01 23:22Air Force vs. Army: O/U 35.5BUY0.4499999982$36.93
11-01 23:22Air Force vs. Army: O/U 35.5BUY0.4399999995$36.81
11-01 23:10Will Chaos Labs launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.25$6.30
11-01 23:05Will Felix Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.35$6.44
11-01 21:001win FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.04$1.89
11-01 20:55Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?BUY0.128999991$1.22
11-01 20:47Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 14.5M in November?BUY0.36$5.41
11-01 19:28Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersBUY0.4599999687$2.35
11-01 18:45Beezie FDV above $250M one day after launch?SELL0.19$5.32
11-01 18:44Beezie FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY0.2$5.71
11-01 17:52Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch?BUY0.05$4.74
11-01 16:32US imports Russian diesel by January 31?BUY0.3399999973$32.29
11-01 14:34Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?BUY0.2309999999$21.94
11-01 14:34Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?BUY0.2099999978$4.78