shwanhk123
0x53099763624036693f4e8278cb00cb4913f34c9c
- Realised P&L
- $-585.41
- Volume
- $24.1k
- Markets traded
- 345
- Open portfolio
- $184.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded345
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$181.81at 0.049Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
- +$102.05at 0.350Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
- +$78.97at 0.100US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
- +$39.50at 0.210Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$34.46at 0.180Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 17:46 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.021 | $6.30 |
| 06-29 08:23 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.014 | $4.20 |
| 06-29 08:23 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.50 |
| 06-29 08:19 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.051 | $10.20 |
| 06-29 08:19 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $8.00 |
| 06-29 08:19 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.026 | $2.60 |
| 06-29 08:18 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.026 | $7.80 |
| 06-29 08:18 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.014 | $8.40 |
| 06-29 08:17 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.40 |
| 06-23 17:19 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.049 | $4.90 |
| 06-23 17:18 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 06-22 07:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $28.00 |
| 06-22 07:23 | Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 06-22 07:23 | Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 06-21 17:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |