Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.015. down 0.007 over the period, from 0.021. Range 0.015 to 0.021. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.015	10	10
0.022	15	25
0.033	1,000	1,025
0.034	2,000	3,025
0.429	56	3,081
0.430	250	3,331
0.489	79	3,410
0.490	349	3,759
0.549	89	3,848
0.550	396	4,244
0.609	113	4,357
0.610	502	4,859

Spread0.001Mid0.014

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.014	388	388
0.011	40	428
0.010	6	434
0.007	1,000	1,434
0.004	500	1,934
0.003	660	2,594
0.002	3,964	6,558
0.001	12,374	18,932

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.986	388	388
0.989	40	428
0.990	6	434
0.993	1,000	1,434
0.996	500	1,934
0.997	660	2,594
0.998	3,964	6,558
0.999	12,374	18,932

Spread0.001Mid0.986

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.985	10	10
0.978	15	25
0.967	1,000	1,025
0.966	2,000	3,025
0.571	56	3,081
0.570	250	3,331
0.511	79	3,410
0.510	349	3,759
0.451	89	3,848
0.450	396	4,244
0.391	113	4,357
0.390	502	4,859

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x8eef6282CACE2eC858BBE4BdBbbFd5db377A7066-1769601991721	Yes	1,873.79
Oldfarm	Yes	226.88
AJSV	Yes	157.07
LornaPredicts	Yes	128.75
ACara	Yes	104.95
phkz	Yes	100
0xf22b…7eab	Yes	99.99
Obiviouslynotaninsider	Yes	91.93
0x75d1…90da	Yes	62
benguezmen	Yes	51.06
Bikesarethebest	Yes	31.17
paas2	Yes	30
0x1a8c…d888	Yes	25
0x2e71…ba75	Yes	25
0x4399…5bd1	Yes	25
0x61f3…6cd9	Yes	25
0x637f…a8be	Yes	25
0x6579…7607	Yes	25
0x8bbf…8469	Yes	25
0x8c56…3a88	Yes	25

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:45:34	BUY	No	0.9792920323	199	$195.30
21:37:54	BUY	No	0.979	9	$8.42
19:25:30	BUY	No	0.979	6	$5.87
22:48:57	BUY	No	0.979	5	$4.89
18:21:15	BUY	No	0.979	5	$4.89
21:49:31	BUY	No	0.979	5	$4.89
07:05:13	BUY	No	0.9789999613	2	$2.00
20:25:31	BUY	No	0.979	5	$4.89
17:54:57	BUY	No	0.979	5	$4.89
21:47:10	BUY	No	0.979	5	$4.89
21:03:24	BUY	No	0.979	5	$4.89
07:42:27	SELL	No	0.978	5	$4.72
07:42:10	BUY	No	0.9789999253	5	$4.73
07:27:37	SELL	No	0.978	5	$4.72
07:27:19	BUY	No	0.9789999253	5	$4.73
07:04:04	SELL	No	0.978	5	$4.72
07:03:45	BUY	No	0.9789999253	5	$4.73
07:01:09	SELL	No	0.978	5	$4.72
07:00:46	BUY	No	0.9789999253	5	$4.73
06:57:57	SELL	No	0.978	5	$4.72
06:57:39	BUY	No	0.9789999253	5	$4.73
06:55:12	SELL	No	0.978	5	$4.72
06:54:52	BUY	No	0.9789999253	5	$4.73
06:52:09	SELL	No	0.978	5	$4.72
06:51:45	BUY	No	0.9789999253	5	$4.73