0x8eef6282CACE2eC858BBE4BdBbbFd5db377A7066-1769601991721
0x8eef6282cace2ec858bbe4bdbbbfd5db377a7066
- Realised P&L
- $-974.60
- Volume
- $9.9k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $41.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.015 | $27.17 | −$192.83 |
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? · Yes | 0.155 | 0.051 | $14.62 | −$29.38 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? · Yes | 0.317 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? · Yes | 0.136 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Peter Mandelson charged by March 31? · Yes | 0.251 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15? · No | 0.382 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15, 2026? · No | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.14at 0.510US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$21.46at 0.225Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.090Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-06 16:17 | Peter Mandelson charged by March 31? | BUY | 0.2512320016 | $100.00 |
| 02-06 16:17 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $100.00 |
| 02-05 17:24 | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | BUY | 0.1549937812 | $44.00 |
| 02-05 17:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? | BUY | 0.135999998 | $50.00 |
| 01-31 13:58 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.046933709 | $100.00 |
| 01-30 14:59 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0899999992 | $100.00 |
| 01-30 06:50 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SELL | 0.62 | $243.13 |
| 01-30 06:34 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.392 | $50.46 |
| 01-30 04:45 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.225277553 | $29.00 |
| 01-30 03:43 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? | BUY | 0.117409258 | $220.00 |
| 01-29 17:17 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15? | BUY | 0.3817243677 | $250.00 |
| 01-29 14:17 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | BUY | 0.3171597633 | $67.00 |
| 01-29 12:06 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.5099999997 | $200.00 |
| 01-29 12:05 | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999994 | $250.00 |