Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-16
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.41. down 0.04 over the period, from 0.45. Range 0.28 to 0.45. 158 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.42	619	619
0.43	3,629	4,247
0.44	1,641	5,889
0.45	3,310	9,198
0.46	925	10,123
0.47	300	10,423
0.48	300	10,723
0.49	1,384	12,107
0.50	513	12,621
0.51	200	12,821
0.53	200	13,021
0.55	400	13,421

Spread0.02Mid0.41

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.40	3,000	3,000
0.39	8,464	11,464
0.38	648	12,112
0.37	50	12,162
0.34	150	12,312
0.33	300	12,612
0.32	1,000	13,612
0.31	300	13,912
0.30	350	14,263
0.29	1,100	15,363
0.27	785	16,148
0.25	45	16,193

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.60	3,000	3,000
0.61	8,464	11,464
0.62	648	12,112
0.63	50	12,162
0.66	150	12,312
0.67	300	12,612
0.68	1,000	13,612
0.69	300	13,912
0.70	350	14,263
0.71	1,100	15,363
0.73	785	16,148
0.75	45	16,193

Spread0.02Mid0.59

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.58	619	619
0.57	3,629	4,247
0.56	1,641	5,889
0.55	3,310	9,198
0.54	925	10,123
0.53	300	10,423
0.52	300	10,723
0.51	1,384	12,107
0.50	513	12,621
0.49	200	12,821
0.47	200	13,021
0.45	400	13,421

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
gaven-willwin	Yes	83,859.94
DancewithRisk	Yes	5,704.23
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes	4,967.41
luck518	Yes	3,373.28
1234ab	Yes	2,787.33
17735977	Yes	1,337.31
liq2	Yes	1,191.03
Tenebrus7	Yes	1,000
donthackme	Yes	790.46
Haradwaith	Yes	613.97
happy00	Yes	381.82
firegold	Yes	268.18
GreshamsLaw	Yes	222.22
0x9687…1b7c	Yes	205
Echelonprt	Yes	200
tomorrownow	Yes	200
Boredape	Yes	200
babyshark.	Yes	150.91
mustbethewater	Yes	133.54
Hugin-og-Munin	Yes	105.76

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:26:56	SELL	No	0.58	10	$5.91
14:34:23	BUY	Yes	0.4099999901	20	$8.28
11:09:08	BUY	Yes	0.4099999836	12	$5.00
09:18:38	SELL	No	0.6	12	$6.90
09:16:26	BUY	Yes	0.4	12	$4.60
19:53:17	SELL	Yes	0.38	6	$2.45
12:19:06	BUY	Yes	0.38	40	$15.20
09:18:45	SELL	No	0.62	29	$17.87
09:18:42	SELL	No	0.62	29	$17.87
09:02:57	BUY	No	0.64	4	$2.56
09:02:51	BUY	Yes	0.37	9	$3.33
09:00:38	BUY	Yes	0.37	197	$72.89
06:53:15	SELL	No	0.63	22	$13.86
03:24:11	SELL	Yes	0.36	14	$4.92
03:23:45	SELL	Yes	0.37	10	$3.70
03:23:42	BUY	No	0.62	50	$31.00
03:17:05	SELL	Yes	0.36	29	$10.44
03:17:02	BUY	No	0.63	5	$3.15
03:17:00	SELL	Yes	0.37	24	$8.88
03:16:59	SELL	Yes	0.37	24	$8.88
03:16:57	BUY	No	0.62	50	$31.00
03:15:20	BUY	No	0.62	4	$2.48
03:15:15	BUY	No	0.62	40	$24.80
03:09:42	BUY	No	0.62	10	$6.20
03:07:32	BUY	No	0.62	50	$31.00