PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

happy00

0xd576bb03811082b995eb15ae49322be14a30b8f4

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$349.5k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$561.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 02:33Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?SELL0.8681632653$212.70
10-30 00:13Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?BUY0.83$103.75
10-21 01:12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.8$136.39
10-19 17:35Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?SELL0.32$200.00
10-16 12:58Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?SELL0.6779667864$181.26
10-16 01:58Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?SELL0.41$34.47
10-13 20:27Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?SELL0.65$110.81
10-12 14:38Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?SELL0.67$40.89
10-01 16:07Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.71$205.90
09-29 14:02Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.65$165.95
09-21 20:51Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?SELL0.31$63.31
09-21 01:38Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.0122347373$20.20
09-04 10:12Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.0506939502$28.49
08-28 14:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.67$402.00
08-28 12:25Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.41$500.20