happy00
0xd576bb03811082b995eb15ae49322be14a30b8f4
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $349.5k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $561.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.79at 0.761Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
- +$31.80at 0.420Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
- +$23.11at 0.520Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
- +$17.86at 0.300Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$15.19at 0.800Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 02:33 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | SELL | 0.8681632653 | $212.70 |
| 10-30 00:13 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $103.75 |
| 10-21 01:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.8 | $136.39 |
| 10-19 17:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | SELL | 0.32 | $200.00 |
| 10-16 12:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | SELL | 0.6779667864 | $181.26 |
| 10-16 01:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | SELL | 0.41 | $34.47 |
| 10-13 20:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | SELL | 0.65 | $110.81 |
| 10-12 14:38 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | SELL | 0.67 | $40.89 |
| 10-01 16:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.71 | $205.90 |
| 09-29 14:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.65 | $165.95 |
| 09-21 20:51 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | SELL | 0.31 | $63.31 |
| 09-21 01:38 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.0122347373 | $20.20 |
| 09-04 10:12 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.0506939502 | $28.49 |
| 08-28 14:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.67 | $402.00 |
| 08-28 12:25 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $500.20 |