PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

happy00

0xd576bb03811082b995eb15ae49322be14a30b8f4

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$284.6k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 03:47Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.885$88.50
07-28 23:25Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?SELL0.35$71.10
07-28 23:25Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?SELL0.2124627513$134.75
07-27 23:18Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?SELL0.3211443478$36.93
07-27 23:13Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?SELL0.61$256.71
07-25 22:30Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.79$36.55
07-25 00:38Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?SELL0.2698402458$305.14
07-24 01:38Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?SELL0.64$19.49
07-24 01:38Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?SELL0.35$142.32
07-23 12:10Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.761$251.13
07-22 14:25Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.3604860693$185.41
07-22 14:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.79$3.95
07-22 10:07Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.86$251.86
07-19 00:33Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.0530365705$21.26
07-15 14:09Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.951$694.24