Echelonprt
0x516d99159930cbae003756af74fecf61159903e5
- Realised P&L
- $-35.0k
- Volume
- $1.44M
- Markets traded
- 887
- Open portfolio
- $12.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded887
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.4kat 0.364Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
- +$3.5kat 0.297Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?
- +$2.5kat 0.615Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.2kat 0.306Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?
- +$1.9kat 0.722Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 10:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.45 | $135.00 |
| 09-17 10:18 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $357.30 |
| 09-17 10:01 | Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat? | BUY | 0.64 | $125.84 |
| 09-17 10:01 | Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat? | BUY | 0.64 | $128.00 |
| 09-11 15:52 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $165.00 |
| 09-11 15:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.18 | $180.00 |
| 09-10 02:05 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.649 | $324.50 |
| 09-08 14:23 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $285.00 |
| 09-08 14:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.46 | $979.34 |
| 09-07 13:13 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $279.99 |
| 09-07 13:13 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $285.00 |
| 09-04 13:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.47 | $141.00 |
| 09-04 00:44 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $325.00 |
| 09-03 21:03 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.321 | $9.63 |
| 09-03 20:58 | Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? | BUY | 0.76 | $38.00 |