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Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-28

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.033. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.032. Range 0.004 to 0.038. 155 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0464040
0.0475898
0.0505104
0.0691,0001,104
0.0701,0432,146
0.126852,231
0.127752,306
0.128402,346
0.129252,371
0.1384002,771
0.3515503,321
0.352253,346

Spread0.027Mid0.033

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0192121
0.005100121
0.00420141
0.003173314
0.0022,6873,001
0.0017,65610,657

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9812121
0.995100121
0.99620141
0.997173314
0.9982,6873,001
0.9997,65610,657

Spread0.027Mid0.968

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9544040
0.9535898
0.9505104
0.9311,0001,104
0.9301,0432,146
0.874852,231
0.873752,306
0.872402,346
0.871252,371
0.8624002,771
0.6495503,321
0.648253,346

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876Yes4,999.99
rousseauuuYes2,570.99
0x141DC90b5E77674587890DFB8E7DaEAC02ABA115-1775683426687Yes2,500.14
HolyMoses7Yes2,112.52
HerrieDavisYes2,092.86
LornaPredictsYes1,357.85
DancewithRiskYes851.99
liq2Yes824.87
qcp2Yes432.14
0x88da…15c6Yes378.33
0x746b39A40C5D00DDd2842855f6d47Ee6C5F713bE-1730833935963Yes336.07
Dr.PNLYes322.11
donthackmeYes302.86
0x25f9…f1f0Yes234.71
bigbrainchadYes208.83
YairyakovYes200.5
AlAhmedaYes200
suntoriYes128.29
th4m2gj1v9apYes117.8
drroleyYes110.61

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:47:11BUYYes0.027999973336$1.00
03:29:15BUYYes0.046999956921$1.00
23:09:23SELLYes0.0114$0.04
22:00:56BUYYes0.00572$0.36
21:59:41BUYYes0.005105$0.53
21:58:53BUYYes0.005105$0.53
21:58:12BUYNo0.980999999941$40.56
21:58:12BUYNo0.9817$7.02
21:58:12BUYNo0.9756$5.79
21:58:12BUYNo0.97219$18.37
21:58:12BUYNo0.971527540$38.86
21:57:33BUYNo0.97111$10.68
21:51:11SELLNo0.95320$19.06
14:57:18SELLNo0.9531$1.11
14:55:38BUYNo0.97499927931$1.15
04:22:50BUYYes0.045204122111$5.00
00:04:14BUYYes0.027999973336$1.00
20:03:39BUYNo0.98110$9.81
20:03:39BUYNo0.98110$9.81
20:03:38BUYNo0.98140$39.24
19:04:20BUYNo0.98110$9.81
19:03:48BUYNo0.9819$8.83
19:03:48BUYNo0.98110$9.81
19:03:48BUYNo0.98099999765$4.91
19:03:48BUYNo0.980837777845$44.14